Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.473.67safe1.23–3.170.61–2.321.85–5.49safer0.98–3.420.38–2.551.37–5.97
Shots on target
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.554.6911.24safe4.69–8.412.95–6.447.64–14.85safer4.20–8.902.49–6.906.68–15.80
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction18.6812.6931.37safe14.76–22.619.12–16.2523.88–38.86safer13.67–23.708.17–17.2121.83–40.91
Shots in box
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction13.008.5221.52safe10.06–15.955.83–11.2015.90–27.14safer9.23–16.785.10–11.9314.33–28.71
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.338.39safe3.18–6.951.67–4.984.86–11.93safer2.64–7.491.18–5.473.82–12.96
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.3810.40safe3.80–8.232.38–6.386.18–14.61safer3.23–8.801.85–6.915.08–15.72
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.5547.62safe46.76–60.3440.84–54.41safer45.09–62.0139.16–56.08
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction493418911safe426–560352–485778–1045safer407–578334–502742–1081
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction75.9373.52safe71.90–79.9669.20–77.85safer70.61–81.2567.89–79.15
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0711.4322.51safe8.24–13.918.49–14.3816.72–28.29safer7.48–14.677.74–15.1215.22–29.79
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.303.71safe1.25–3.570.21–2.401.45–5.96safer0.94–3.870.00–2.680.87–6.55
Yellow cards
32%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.582.89safe0.26–2.360.45–2.710.71–5.07safer0.00–2.620.16–3.000.15–5.62
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.234.197.41safe1.79–4.662.63–5.744.42–10.40safer1.40–5.052.21–6.173.61–11.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 3.67 1.85–5.49 1.37–5.97 | 54% 20% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.69–8.41 4.20–8.90 | 4.69 2.95–6.44 2.49–6.90 | 11.24 7.64–14.85 6.68–15.80 | 66% 24% |
| Total shots | 18.68 14.76–22.61 13.67–23.70 | 12.69 9.12–16.25 8.17–17.21 | 31.37 23.88–38.86 21.83–40.91 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 13.00 10.06–15.95 9.23–16.78 | 8.52 5.83–11.20 5.10–11.93 | 21.52 15.90–27.14 14.33–28.71 | 81% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.06 3.18–6.95 2.64–7.49 | 3.33 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 8.39 4.86–11.93 3.82–12.96 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.85–6.91 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 53.55 46.76–60.34 45.09–62.01 | 47.62 40.84–54.41 39.16–56.08 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 407–578 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.93 71.90–79.96 70.61–81.25 | 73.52 69.20–77.85 67.89–79.15 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.12 | 22.51 16.72–28.29 15.22–29.79 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.94–3.87 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.15–5.62 | 32% 25% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 4.19 2.63–5.74 2.21–6.17 | 7.41 4.42–10.40 3.61–11.22 | 29% 14% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.