Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.650.874.52safe2.68–4.620.02–1.732.70–6.34safer2.43–4.870.00–1.952.22–6.82
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.783.1411.93safe6.92–10.651.40–4.888.32–15.53safer6.43–11.140.93–5.357.36–16.49
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.768.6131.38safe18.84–26.695.05–12.1723.89–38.86safer17.75–27.784.09–13.1321.84–40.91
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.435.2420.66safe12.48–18.372.56–7.9215.04–26.29safer11.65–19.201.82–8.6613.47–27.85
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.142.128.26safe4.26–8.030.46–3.774.73–11.80safer3.72–8.570.00–4.263.69–12.83
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.142.5510.69safe5.93–10.350.55–4.556.48–14.90safer5.35–10.930.02–5.085.37–16.01
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.8732.48safe61.08–74.6725.70–39.27safer59.42–76.3324.03–40.94
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6853191004safe618–753252–385870–1138safer600–771235–403835–1173
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction83.0073.35safe78.97–87.0369.02–77.67safer77.68–88.3367.71–78.98
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0511.3520.40safe6.21–11.888.40–14.2914.61–26.18safer5.45–12.647.66–15.0413.11–27.68
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.783.57safe0.63–2.950.69–2.881.32–5.83safer0.33–3.250.40–3.170.73–6.42
Yellow cards
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.702.63safe0.00–1.980.57–2.830.45–4.81safer0.00–2.250.28–3.120.00–5.37
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.045.137.17safe0.60–3.473.58–6.694.18–10.16safer0.21–3.863.15–7.113.36–10.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.65 2.68–4.62 2.43–4.87 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 4.52 2.70–6.34 2.22–6.82 | 87% |
| Shots on target | 8.78 6.92–10.65 6.43–11.14 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 11.93 8.32–15.53 7.36–16.49 | 94% |
| Total shots | 22.76 18.84–26.69 17.75–27.78 | 8.61 5.05–12.17 4.09–13.13 | 31.38 23.89–38.86 21.84–40.91 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.43 12.48–18.37 11.65–19.20 | 5.24 2.56–7.92 1.82–8.66 | 20.66 15.04–26.29 13.47–27.85 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.14 4.26–8.03 3.72–8.57 | 2.12 0.46–3.77 0.00–4.26 | 8.26 4.73–11.80 3.69–12.83 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.14 5.93–10.35 5.35–10.93 | 2.55 0.55–4.55 0.02–5.08 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 95% |
| Possession % | 67.87 61.08–74.67 59.42–76.33 | 32.48 25.70–39.27 24.03–40.94 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 685 618–753 600–771 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 1004 870–1138 835–1173 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.00 78.97–87.03 77.68–88.33 | 73.35 69.02–77.67 67.71–78.98 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.05 6.21–11.88 5.45–12.64 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.66–15.04 | 20.40 14.61–26.18 13.11–27.68 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.57 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.42 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 0.93 0.00–1.98 0.00–2.25 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 2.63 0.45–4.81 0.00–5.37 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 5.13 3.58–6.69 3.15–7.11 | 7.17 4.18–10.16 3.36–10.97 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.