Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.753.79safe1.07–3.010.90–2.611.97–5.62safer0.82–3.260.67–2.831.49–6.10
Shots on target
53%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction6.295.5311.82safe4.43–8.163.79–7.278.22–15.43safer3.94–8.653.32–7.747.26–16.38
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5815.1132.68safe13.65–21.5011.54–18.6725.20–40.17safer12.56–22.5910.58–19.6323.14–42.22
Shots in box
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9610.4222.38safe9.02–14.907.74–13.1016.76–28.00safer8.19–15.737.00–13.8415.19–29.57
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.668.27safe2.72–6.492.01–5.314.73–11.80safer2.18–7.031.51–5.803.69–12.84
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction6.214.8211.03safe4.00–8.432.82–6.826.82–15.25safer3.43–9.002.29–7.355.71–16.35
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.2143.20safe50.42–64.0036.41–49.98safer48.75–65.6734.74–51.65
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction526407933safe459–593341–474800–1067safer441–611323–491764–1103
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction72.6272.27safe68.59–76.6567.94–76.59safer67.30–77.9566.63–77.90
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4613.3722.83safe6.62–12.3010.42–16.3117.04–28.61safer5.87–13.059.67–17.0615.54–30.11
Offsides
15%
15%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.423.074.49safe0.26–2.581.98–4.162.24–6.74safer0.00–2.881.69–4.451.65–7.33
Yellow cards
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.983.54safe0.51–2.610.85–3.111.36–5.72safer0.25–2.880.56–3.400.80–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.867.36safe2.07–4.942.30–5.414.37–10.35safer1.68–5.321.88–5.843.55–11.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.83 | 3.79 1.97–5.62 1.49–6.10 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Shots on target | 6.29 4.43–8.16 3.94–8.65 | 5.53 3.79–7.27 3.32–7.74 | 11.82 8.22–15.43 7.26–16.38 | 53% 36% |
| Total shots | 17.58 13.65–21.50 12.56–22.59 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.58–19.63 | 32.68 25.20–40.17 23.14–42.22 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.02–14.90 8.19–15.73 | 10.42 7.74–13.10 7.00–13.84 | 22.38 16.76–28.00 15.19–29.57 | 59% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.66 2.01–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 8.27 4.73–11.80 3.69–12.84 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 11.03 6.82–15.25 5.71–16.35 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 57.21 50.42–64.00 48.75–65.67 | 43.20 36.41–49.98 34.74–51.65 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–611 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.62 68.59–76.65 67.30–77.95 | 72.27 67.94–76.59 66.63–77.90 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 9.46 6.62–12.30 5.87–13.05 | 13.37 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 22.83 17.04–28.61 15.54–30.11 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 3.07 1.98–4.16 1.69–4.45 | 4.49 2.24–6.74 1.65–7.33 | 15% 15% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.80–6.28 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.32 | 3.86 2.30–5.41 1.88–5.84 | 7.36 4.37–10.35 3.55–11.16 | 37% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.