Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.883.36safe0.52–2.451.02–2.731.54–5.18safer0.26–2.700.80–2.961.06–5.66
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.069.90safe2.97–6.703.32–6.816.29–13.50safer2.48–7.192.85–7.275.34–14.46
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9112.7726.68safe9.98–17.839.20–16.3319.19–34.16safer8.89–18.928.25–17.2917.14–36.21
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.899.0717.96safe5.95–11.836.39–11.7512.33–23.58safer5.12–12.665.65–12.4810.77–25.15
Blocked shots
39%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.077.90safe1.95–5.712.41–5.724.36–11.43safer1.40–6.251.92–6.213.33–12.47
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.959.89safe2.73–7.152.95–6.955.68–14.10safer2.15–7.732.42–7.484.57–15.21
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.6054.56safe38.81–52.3947.78–61.35safer37.14–54.0646.11–63.02
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction432506937safe364–499439–572803–1071safer346–517422–590768–1106
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction70.9976.33safe66.96–75.0272.01–80.66safer65.66–76.3170.70–81.97
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6712.7322.41safe6.84–12.519.79–15.6816.63–28.19safer6.08–13.279.04–16.4315.12–29.69
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.643.60safe0.81–3.130.54–2.731.35–5.86safer0.50–3.430.26–3.020.76–6.45
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.943.27safe0.28–2.380.81–3.071.09–5.45safer0.02–2.650.52–3.360.53–6.00
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.016.07safe1.62–4.491.45–4.573.07–9.06safer1.23–4.881.03–4.992.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.88 1.02–2.73 0.80–2.96 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.85–7.27 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.34–14.46 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.98–17.83 8.89–18.92 | 12.77 9.20–16.33 8.25–17.29 | 26.68 19.19–34.16 17.14–36.21 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.65–12.48 | 17.96 12.33–23.58 10.77–25.15 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 4.07 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.90 4.36–11.43 3.33–12.47 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 45.60 38.81–52.39 37.14–54.06 | 54.56 47.78–61.35 46.11–63.02 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 432 364–499 346–517 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.96–75.02 65.66–76.31 | 76.33 72.01–80.66 70.70–81.97 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 9.67 6.84–12.51 6.08–13.27 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.69 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.07 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.