Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.202.95safe0.78–2.720.35–2.061.13–4.78safer0.53–2.970.12–2.290.65–5.26
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.449.78safe3.49–7.212.69–6.186.18–13.39safer3.00–7.702.23–6.645.22–14.34
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4213.3328.74safe11.49–19.349.76–16.8921.26–36.23safer10.40–20.438.80–17.8519.21–38.28
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.288.0718.35safe7.34–13.235.39–10.7512.73–23.97safer6.51–14.054.65–11.4911.16–25.54
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.317.54safe2.35–6.121.65–4.964.01–11.08safer1.81–6.661.16–5.452.97–12.11
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.724.5910.31safe3.50–7.932.59–6.596.09–14.52safer2.93–8.502.06–7.124.98–15.63
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.4146.09safe46.62–60.2039.30–52.87safer44.95–61.8737.63–54.55
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction472392864safe405–540325–458730–998safer387–558308–476695–1033
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction68.6769.65safe64.64–72.7065.32–73.97safer63.35–73.9964.01–75.28
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8111.3523.15safe8.97–14.648.40–14.2917.37–28.94safer8.21–15.407.65–15.0415.87–30.44
Offsides
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.033.57safe0.38–2.700.94–3.131.31–5.82safer0.07–3.000.65–3.410.72–6.41
Yellow cards
37%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.613.18safe0.52–2.620.48–2.741.01–5.36safer0.26–2.890.19–3.030.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.536.36safe1.39–4.261.97–5.093.37–9.35safer1.00–4.651.55–5.512.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.21 3.00–7.70 | 4.44 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.42 11.49–19.34 10.40–20.43 | 13.33 9.76–16.89 8.80–17.85 | 28.74 21.26–36.23 19.21–38.28 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 10.28 7.34–13.23 6.51–14.05 | 8.07 5.39–10.75 4.65–11.49 | 18.35 12.73–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.35–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 3.31 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.72 3.50–7.93 2.93–8.50 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.12 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.63 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 53.41 46.62–60.20 44.95–61.87 | 46.09 39.30–52.87 37.63–54.55 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 472 405–540 387–558 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.67 64.64–72.70 63.35–73.99 | 69.65 65.32–73.97 64.01–75.28 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.97–14.64 8.21–15.40 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 23.15 17.37–28.94 15.87–30.44 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.07–3.00 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.18 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 37% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.53 1.97–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.