Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.633.15safe0.55–2.490.77–2.481.33–4.97safer0.30–2.740.55–2.710.85–5.45
Shots on target
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.009.54safe2.68–6.403.26–6.745.94–13.15safer2.19–6.892.79–7.214.98–14.10
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6713.5828.25safe10.74–18.5910.02–17.1420.76–35.73safer9.65–19.689.06–18.1018.71–37.78
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.279.1619.44safe7.33–13.216.48–11.8413.81–25.06safer6.50–14.045.75–12.5812.25–26.63
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.014.228.24safe2.13–5.902.57–5.874.70–11.77safer1.59–6.442.08–6.373.66–12.81
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.3310.48safe2.93–7.363.33–7.336.26–14.69safer2.36–7.932.80–7.865.15–15.80
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.7059.36safe34.91–48.4952.58–66.15safer33.24–50.1650.91–67.82
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction381535916safe314–449469–601783–1050safer296–467451–619747–1086
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction65.7276.09safe61.69–69.7571.77–80.41safer60.40–71.0470.46–81.72
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7710.4322.20safe8.93–14.617.49–13.3816.42–27.98safer8.18–15.366.74–14.1214.91–29.49
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.573.13safe0.40–2.720.48–2.660.88–5.39safer0.10–3.020.19–2.950.29–5.97
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.813.67safe0.81–2.910.69–2.941.49–5.85safer0.54–3.170.39–3.230.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.076.24safe1.74–4.611.51–4.623.25–9.23safer1.35–5.001.09–5.052.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.55–2.71 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.10 | 38% 49% |
| Total shots | 14.67 10.74–18.59 9.65–19.68 | 13.58 10.02–17.14 9.06–18.10 | 28.25 20.76–35.73 18.71–37.78 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.21 6.50–14.04 | 9.16 6.48–11.84 5.75–12.58 | 19.44 13.81–25.06 12.25–26.63 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.08–6.37 | 8.24 4.70–11.77 3.66–12.81 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.86 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.80 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 41.70 34.91–48.49 33.24–50.16 | 59.36 52.58–66.15 50.91–67.82 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 381 314–449 296–467 | 535 469–601 451–619 | 916 783–1050 747–1086 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.72 61.69–69.75 60.40–71.04 | 76.09 71.77–80.41 70.46–81.72 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.93–14.61 8.18–15.36 | 10.43 7.49–13.38 6.74–14.12 | 22.20 16.42–27.98 14.91–29.49 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.97 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.81 0.69–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 43% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+