Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.283.34safe1.09–3.030.43–2.131.52–5.17safer0.84–3.280.20–2.361.04–5.65
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.314.1310.44safe4.45–8.172.39–5.876.83–14.04safer3.96–8.661.92–6.345.88–15.00
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction19.1012.3631.46safe15.18–23.038.79–15.9223.97–38.94safer14.08–24.127.83–16.8821.92–40.99
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.998.2620.25safe9.05–14.945.58–10.9414.63–25.88safer8.22–15.774.84–11.6813.06–27.44
Blocked shots
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.143.708.83safe3.25–7.022.04–5.355.30–12.37safer2.71–7.561.55–5.844.26–13.40
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.264.5110.78safe4.05–8.482.51–6.516.57–14.99safer3.48–9.051.98–7.055.46–16.10
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction52.9747.09safe46.18–59.7640.31–53.88safer44.51–61.4338.63–55.55
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction513436949safe445–580370–503815–1082safer427–598352–520779–1118
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction70.3172.36safe66.28–74.3468.04–76.69safer64.99–75.6466.73–78.00
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2511.1321.37safe7.41–13.088.18–14.0715.59–27.15safer6.65–13.847.43–14.8214.09–28.66
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.343.34safe0.84–3.160.24–2.431.09–5.59safer0.54–3.470.00–2.720.50–6.18
Yellow cards
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.492.97safe0.42–2.520.36–2.620.79–5.15safer0.16–2.790.07–2.910.23–5.70
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.854.046.89safe1.41–4.282.48–5.603.90–9.88safer1.02–4.672.06–6.023.08–10.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 1.28 0.43–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 55% 21% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.31 4.45–8.17 3.96–8.66 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 10.44 6.83–14.04 5.88–15.00 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 19.10 15.18–23.03 14.08–24.12 | 12.36 8.79–15.92 7.83–16.88 | 31.46 23.97–38.94 21.92–40.99 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.22–15.77 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.68 | 20.25 14.63–25.88 13.06–27.44 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 5.14 3.25–7.02 2.71–7.56 | 3.70 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 8.83 5.30–12.37 4.26–13.40 | 62% 26% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.05–8.48 3.48–9.05 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 10.78 6.57–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 52.97 46.18–59.76 44.51–61.43 | 47.09 40.31–53.88 38.63–55.55 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 513 445–580 427–598 | 436 370–503 352–520 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.31 66.28–74.34 64.99–75.64 | 72.36 68.04–76.69 66.73–78.00 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.41–13.08 6.65–13.84 | 11.13 8.18–14.07 7.43–14.82 | 21.37 15.59–27.15 14.09–28.66 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.47 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 2.97 0.79–5.15 0.23–5.70 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 4.04 2.48–5.60 2.06–6.02 | 6.89 3.90–9.88 3.08–10.69 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.