Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.303.38safe0.11–2.051.45–3.161.56–5.20safer0.00–2.301.22–3.381.08–5.68
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.846.5910.43safe1.98–5.704.85–8.346.83–14.04safer1.49–6.194.39–8.805.87–15.00
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1417.6328.77safe7.22–15.0714.06–21.1921.28–36.26safer6.13–16.1613.10–22.1519.23–38.31
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2412.1719.41safe4.30–10.199.48–14.8513.79–25.03safer3.47–11.028.75–15.5812.22–26.60
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.527.57safe1.16–4.922.87–6.184.03–11.10safer0.62–5.472.38–6.673.00–12.14
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.946.5410.48safe1.72–6.154.54–8.546.26–14.69safer1.15–6.734.01–9.075.16–15.80
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.8461.89safe33.05–46.6355.10–68.67safer31.38–48.3053.43–70.34
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction384589974safe317–451523–656840–1107safer299–470505–673804–1143
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.0578.77safe60.02–68.0874.45–83.10safer58.73–69.3773.14–84.40
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0110.9822.00safe8.18–13.858.04–13.9316.22–27.78safer7.42–14.617.29–14.6814.71–29.28
Offsides
26%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.384.02safe0.48–2.801.28–3.471.77–6.28safer0.18–3.111.00–3.761.18–6.86
Yellow cards
35%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.793.39safe0.55–2.650.66–2.921.21–5.56safer0.28–2.910.37–3.210.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.446.62safe2.74–5.610.89–4.003.63–9.61safer2.35–6.000.46–4.422.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.30 1.45–3.16 1.22–3.38 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.70 1.49–6.19 | 6.59 4.85–8.34 4.39–8.80 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–15.00 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.14 7.22–15.07 6.13–16.16 | 17.63 14.06–21.19 13.10–22.15 | 28.77 21.28–36.26 19.23–38.31 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.19 3.47–11.02 | 12.17 9.48–14.85 8.75–15.58 | 19.41 13.79–25.03 12.22–26.60 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.04 1.16–4.92 0.62–5.47 | 4.52 2.87–6.18 2.38–6.67 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.72–6.15 1.15–6.73 | 6.54 4.54–8.54 4.01–9.07 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 39.84 33.05–46.63 31.38–48.30 | 61.89 55.10–68.67 53.43–70.34 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–470 | 589 523–656 505–673 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.05 60.02–68.08 58.73–69.37 | 78.77 74.45–83.10 73.14–84.40 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.18–13.85 7.42–14.61 | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 22.00 16.22–27.78 14.71–29.28 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 2.38 1.28–3.47 1.00–3.76 | 4.02 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.86 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.39 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 35% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.18 2.74–5.61 2.35–6.00 | 2.44 0.89–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 68% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+