Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.953.61safe0.69–2.631.09–2.801.79–5.43safer0.44–2.880.87–3.031.31–5.91
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.6410.44safe2.94–6.663.90–7.396.84–14.05safer2.45–7.153.43–7.855.88–15.00
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4515.3530.80safe11.53–19.3811.79–18.9123.32–38.29safer10.44–20.4710.83–19.8721.27–40.34
Shots in box
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1110.2319.35safe6.17–12.067.55–12.9113.72–24.97safer5.34–12.896.81–13.6512.16–26.54
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.018.08safe2.18–5.952.36–5.674.54–11.61safer1.64–6.491.87–6.163.51–12.65
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.1510.09safe2.72–7.153.15–7.155.88–14.31safer2.15–7.722.62–7.694.77–15.41
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.7049.30safe44.91–58.5042.51–56.08safer43.25–60.1640.84–57.75
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction502485987safe434–569419–552853–1121safer416–587401–569818–1156
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction71.7175.14safe67.68–75.7470.82–79.46safer66.39–77.0469.51–80.77
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1311.4221.55safe7.29–12.968.48–14.3615.76–27.33safer6.53–13.727.73–15.1114.26–28.83
Offsides
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.243.55safe0.15–2.471.15–3.331.30–5.80safer0.00–2.770.86–3.620.71–6.39
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.733.11safe0.33–2.430.60–2.860.93–5.29safer0.06–2.690.31–3.150.37–5.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.306.81safe2.08–4.951.74–4.863.82–9.80safer1.69–5.341.32–5.283.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.95 1.09–2.80 0.87–3.03 | 3.61 1.79–5.43 1.31–5.91 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.66 2.45–7.15 | 5.64 3.90–7.39 3.43–7.85 | 10.44 6.84–14.05 5.88–15.00 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.53–19.38 10.44–20.47 | 15.35 11.79–18.91 10.83–19.87 | 30.80 23.32–38.29 21.27–40.34 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 10.23 7.55–12.91 6.81–13.65 | 19.35 13.72–24.97 12.16–26.54 | 36% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.18–5.95 1.64–6.49 | 4.01 2.36–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 8.08 4.54–11.61 3.51–12.65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.69 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 51.70 44.91–58.50 43.25–60.16 | 49.30 42.51–56.08 40.84–57.75 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 502 434–569 416–587 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 987 853–1121 818–1156 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.71 67.68–75.74 66.39–77.04 | 75.14 70.82–79.46 69.51–80.77 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.13 7.29–12.96 6.53–13.72 | 11.42 8.48–14.36 7.73–15.11 | 21.55 15.76–27.33 14.26–28.83 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 2.24 1.15–3.33 0.86–3.62 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.37–5.85 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.81 3.82–9.80 3.01–10.62 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.