Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.530.962.49safe0.56–2.500.10–1.810.67–4.31safer0.31–2.750.00–2.040.19–4.79
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.973.378.34safe3.11–6.831.63–5.114.74–11.95safer2.62–7.321.16–5.583.78–12.90
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0310.1725.20safe11.11–18.956.60–13.7317.71–32.68safer10.01–20.055.64–14.6915.66–34.73
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.616.3415.95safe6.66–12.553.66–9.0210.32–21.57safer5.83–13.382.92–9.768.76–23.14
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.666.60safe2.05–5.821.01–4.313.06–10.13safer1.51–6.360.52–4.812.03–11.17
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.914.049.95safe3.70–8.122.04–6.045.74–14.17safer3.12–8.701.51–6.584.63–15.27
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.1146.33safe47.32–60.9039.55–53.12safer45.65–62.5737.88–54.79
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction471402874safe404–539336–469740–1007safer386–557318–486704–1043
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction70.1969.48safe66.16–74.2265.16–73.80safer64.87–75.5163.85–75.11
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.3325.12safe8.95–14.6310.38–16.2719.34–30.90safer8.19–15.389.64–17.0217.83–32.40
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.843.45safe0.44–2.770.75–2.931.19–5.70safer0.14–3.070.46–3.220.60–6.29
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.963.82safe0.82–2.910.83–3.091.64–6.00safer0.55–3.180.54–3.381.09–6.56
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.415.86safe1.01–3.891.85–4.972.87–8.85safer0.63–4.271.43–5.392.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 51% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.11–6.83 2.62–7.32 | 3.37 1.63–5.11 1.16–5.58 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.11–18.95 10.01–20.05 | 10.17 6.60–13.73 5.64–14.69 | 25.20 17.71–32.68 15.66–34.73 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.66–12.55 5.83–13.38 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 15.95 10.32–21.57 8.76–23.14 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.52–4.81 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.70–8.12 3.12–8.70 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.51–6.58 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.11 47.32–60.90 45.65–62.57 | 46.33 39.55–53.12 37.88–54.79 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 874 740–1007 704–1043 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.19 66.16–74.22 64.87–75.51 | 69.48 65.16–73.80 63.85–75.11 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.19–15.38 | 13.33 10.38–16.27 9.64–17.02 | 25.12 19.34–30.90 17.83–32.40 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.41 1.85–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.