Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.932.54safe0.65–2.590.07–1.780.72–4.37safer0.40–2.840.00–2.010.24–4.85
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.468.58safe3.25–6.981.72–5.204.97–12.18safer2.76–7.471.25–5.674.02–13.14
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3010.4725.77safe11.38–19.236.90–14.0318.28–33.25safer10.29–20.325.94–14.9916.23–35.30
Shots in box
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.326.0115.33safe6.38–12.263.33–8.699.71–20.96safer5.55–13.092.59–9.438.14–22.52
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.616.50safe2.01–5.770.95–4.262.96–10.03safer1.46–6.310.46–4.751.92–11.07
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.059.62safe3.36–7.782.05–6.055.40–13.83safer2.78–8.361.51–6.584.30–14.94
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.0144.19safe49.22–62.8037.41–50.97safer47.55–64.4735.73–52.65
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction486394880safe419–553328–461747–1014safer401–571310–478711–1050
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction74.5673.06safe70.53–78.5968.73–77.38safer69.23–79.8867.42–78.69
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1312.3226.45safe11.29–16.969.38–15.2720.67–32.23safer10.53–17.728.63–16.0219.16–33.74
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.753.16safe0.25–2.570.66–2.840.91–5.42safer0.00–2.870.37–3.130.32–6.00
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.444.69safe1.21–3.311.31–3.572.52–6.87safer0.94–3.571.02–3.861.96–7.43
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.455.88safe1.00–3.871.89–5.012.89–8.88safer0.61–4.261.47–5.432.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 54% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 8.58 4.97–12.18 4.02–13.14 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.29–20.32 | 10.47 6.90–14.03 5.94–14.99 | 25.77 18.28–33.25 16.23–35.30 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 15.33 9.71–20.96 8.14–22.52 | 76% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.61 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.92–11.07 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.51–6.58 | 9.62 5.40–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 56.01 49.22–62.80 47.55–64.47 | 44.19 37.41–50.97 35.73–52.65 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.56 70.53–78.59 69.23–79.88 | 73.06 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 14.13 11.29–16.96 10.53–17.72 | 12.32 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 26.45 20.67–32.23 19.16–33.74 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.00 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.69 2.52–6.87 1.96–7.43 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.