Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.893.07safe1.22–3.150.03–1.741.25–4.90safer0.97–3.410.00–1.970.77–5.38
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.089.08safe4.13–7.861.34–4.835.47–12.68safer3.64–8.350.88–5.294.52–13.64
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.508.8526.35safe13.58–21.435.29–12.4118.86–33.84safer12.48–22.524.33–13.3716.81–35.89
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.895.5017.39safe8.94–14.832.82–8.1911.77–23.01safer8.11–15.662.09–8.9210.20–24.58
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.406.75safe2.47–6.230.75–4.053.21–10.28safer1.92–6.780.25–4.542.18–11.32
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.313.619.92safe4.10–8.521.61–5.615.70–14.13safer3.52–9.101.07–6.144.59–15.24
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.9242.94safe51.13–64.7136.15–49.72safer49.46–66.3834.48–51.40
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction530389919safe463–597322–455785–1053safer445–615305–473750–1088
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction79.3173.34safe75.28–83.3469.02–77.67safer73.99–84.6467.71–78.98
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3913.7226.10safe9.55–15.2210.77–16.6620.32–31.88safer8.79–15.9810.02–17.4118.82–33.39
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.202.75safe0.39–2.710.11–2.300.50–5.01safer0.09–3.010.00–2.580.00–5.60
Yellow cards
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.724.85safe1.08–3.181.59–3.852.67–7.03safer0.81–3.441.30–4.142.11–7.58
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.775.98safe0.77–3.642.22–5.332.98–8.97safer0.38–4.031.79–5.752.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.15 0.97–3.41 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.13–7.86 3.64–8.35 | 3.08 1.34–4.83 0.88–5.29 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.52–13.64 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.50 13.58–21.43 12.48–22.52 | 8.85 5.29–12.41 4.33–13.37 | 26.35 18.86–33.84 16.81–35.89 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.11–15.66 | 5.50 2.82–8.19 2.09–8.92 | 17.39 11.77–23.01 10.20–24.58 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.92–6.78 | 2.40 0.75–4.05 0.25–4.54 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.31 4.10–8.52 3.52–9.10 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.07–6.14 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.24 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 57.92 51.13–64.71 49.46–66.38 | 42.94 36.15–49.72 34.48–51.40 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 530 463–597 445–615 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.31 75.28–83.34 73.99–84.64 | 73.34 69.02–77.67 67.71–78.98 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.22 8.79–15.98 | 13.72 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 26.10 20.32–31.88 18.82–33.39 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.20 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.58 | 2.75 0.50–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.72 1.59–3.85 1.30–4.14 | 4.85 2.67–7.03 2.11–7.58 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.77 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 5.98 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.