Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.582.62safe0.07–2.010.73–2.430.80–4.44safer0.00–2.260.50–2.660.32–4.92
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.898.74safe1.99–5.713.15–6.645.14–12.35safer1.50–6.202.69–7.104.18–13.30
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6213.6025.22safe7.69–15.5410.04–17.1617.73–32.70safer6.60–16.639.08–18.1215.68–34.75
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.118.8515.96safe4.17–10.056.17–11.5310.34–21.59safer3.34–10.885.44–12.278.77–23.15
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.546.90safe1.48–5.241.89–5.193.37–10.44safer0.94–5.791.39–5.692.33–11.47
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.4410.02safe2.36–6.793.44–7.445.80–14.23safer1.79–7.362.91–7.984.70–15.34
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction39.1962.45safe32.40–45.9855.67–69.24safer30.73–47.6553.99–70.91
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction332558890safe265–399492–625757–1024safer247–417474–642721–1060
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.4276.99safe59.40–67.4572.67–81.32safer58.10–68.7571.36–82.62
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6012.8426.44safe10.76–16.439.90–15.7820.65–32.22safer10.00–17.199.15–16.5319.15–33.72
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.593.21safe0.46–2.780.50–2.690.96–5.46safer0.16–3.080.21–2.970.37–6.05
Yellow cards
43%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.174.51safe1.29–3.391.04–3.302.33–6.69safer1.02–3.660.75–3.591.77–7.24
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.535.71safe1.75–4.620.97–4.082.72–8.70safer1.36–5.010.55–4.511.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.58 0.73–2.43 0.50–2.66 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 4.89 3.15–6.64 2.69–7.10 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.30 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.62 7.69–15.54 6.60–16.63 | 13.60 10.04–17.16 9.08–18.12 | 25.22 17.73–32.70 15.68–34.75 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.11 4.17–10.05 3.34–10.88 | 8.85 6.17–11.53 5.44–12.27 | 15.96 10.34–21.59 8.77–23.15 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.24 0.94–5.79 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.69 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.91–7.98 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 39.19 32.40–45.98 30.73–47.65 | 62.45 55.67–69.24 53.99–70.91 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 247–417 | 558 492–625 474–642 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.42 59.40–67.45 58.10–68.75 | 76.99 72.67–81.32 71.36–82.62 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.60 10.76–16.43 10.00–17.19 | 12.84 9.90–15.78 9.15–16.53 | 26.44 20.65–32.22 19.15–33.72 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.21 0.96–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.29–3.39 1.02–3.66 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.51 2.33–6.69 1.77–7.24 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.53 0.97–4.08 0.55–4.51 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.