Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.690.882.57safe0.73–2.660.02–1.730.75–4.39safer0.47–2.910.00–1.960.27–4.87
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.118.36safe3.38–7.111.37–4.864.75–11.96safer2.89–7.600.91–5.323.80–12.92
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.279.7825.04safe11.34–19.196.21–13.3417.56–32.53safer10.25–20.285.26–14.3015.51–34.58
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.955.9615.91safe7.00–12.893.28–8.6510.29–21.53safer6.17–13.722.55–9.388.72–23.10
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.956.90safe2.06–5.831.30–4.613.36–10.43safer1.52–6.370.81–5.102.33–11.47
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.733.399.13safe3.52–7.951.39–5.394.91–13.34safer2.95–8.520.86–5.933.81–14.45
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.2144.31safe47.42–61.0037.53–51.10safer45.75–62.6735.86–52.77
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction557437994safe490–624371–504861–1128safer472–642353–521825–1164
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction75.7273.85safe71.69–79.7569.53–78.18safer70.40–81.0468.22–79.49
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7012.7724.47safe8.87–14.549.83–15.7118.69–30.26safer8.11–15.309.08–16.4617.19–31.76
Offsides
55%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.373.49safe0.96–3.280.28–2.461.24–5.74safer0.66–3.580.00–2.750.65–6.33
Yellow cards
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.274.25safe0.93–3.031.15–3.402.08–6.43safer0.66–3.290.85–3.691.52–6.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.615.71safe0.67–3.542.05–5.172.72–8.70safer0.28–3.931.63–5.591.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.38–7.11 2.89–7.60 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.27 11.34–19.19 10.25–20.28 | 9.78 6.21–13.34 5.26–14.30 | 25.04 17.56–32.53 15.51–34.58 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.17–13.72 | 5.96 3.28–8.65 2.55–9.38 | 15.91 10.29–21.53 8.72–23.10 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.86–5.93 | 9.13 4.91–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 54.21 47.42–61.00 45.75–62.67 | 44.31 37.53–51.10 35.86–52.77 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 557 490–624 472–642 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 994 861–1128 825–1164 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.72 71.69–79.75 70.40–81.04 | 73.85 69.53–78.18 68.22–79.49 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 12.77 9.83–15.71 9.08–16.46 | 24.47 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 55% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.27 1.15–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.25 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.