Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.812.653.46safe0.00–1.781.79–3.501.63–5.28safer0.00–2.031.57–3.731.15–5.76
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.226.8210.04safe1.36–5.085.07–8.566.43–13.64safer0.87–5.574.61–9.035.48–14.60
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5316.9227.45safe6.61–14.4613.35–20.4819.96–34.93safer5.52–15.5512.39–21.4417.91–36.98
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6411.7017.35safe2.70–8.599.02–14.3911.73–22.97safer1.87–9.428.29–15.1210.16–24.54
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.714.377.09safe0.83–4.602.72–6.023.55–10.62safer0.29–5.142.23–6.522.51–11.66
Corners
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.496.429.90safe1.27–5.704.42–8.425.69–14.12safer0.70–6.273.89–8.954.58–15.23
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.3761.36safe32.58–46.1654.57–68.14safer30.91–47.8352.90–69.81
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction362552914safe295–430485–618780–1048safer277–448468–636745–1083
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction68.5881.80safe64.55–72.6177.48–86.13safer63.26–73.9076.17–87.44
Fouls
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9110.4924.40safe11.07–16.757.54–13.4318.61–30.18safer10.31–17.506.79–14.1817.11–31.68
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.753.10safe0.19–2.510.66–2.850.85–5.36safer0.00–2.810.37–3.140.26–5.94
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.074.21safe1.09–3.190.94–3.192.03–6.39safer0.83–3.460.65–3.491.47–6.94
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.120.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.436.88safe3.01–5.880.88–3.993.88–9.87safer2.62–6.270.45–4.413.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.81 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.03 | 2.65 1.79–3.50 1.57–3.73 | 3.46 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.22 1.36–5.08 0.87–5.57 | 6.82 5.07–8.56 4.61–9.03 | 10.04 6.43–13.64 5.48–14.60 | 84% |
| Total shots | 10.53 6.61–14.46 5.52–15.55 | 16.92 13.35–20.48 12.39–21.44 | 27.45 19.96–34.93 17.91–36.98 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.64 2.70–8.59 1.87–9.42 | 11.70 9.02–14.39 8.29–15.12 | 17.35 11.73–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.71 0.83–4.60 0.29–5.14 | 4.37 2.72–6.02 2.23–6.52 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.66 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 3.49 1.27–5.70 0.70–6.27 | 6.42 4.42–8.42 3.89–8.95 | 9.90 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.23 | 13% 78% |
| Possession % | 39.37 32.58–46.16 30.91–47.83 | 61.36 54.57–68.14 52.90–69.81 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 362 295–430 277–448 | 552 485–618 468–636 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.58 64.55–72.61 63.26–73.90 | 81.80 77.48–86.13 76.17–87.44 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.91 11.07–16.75 10.31–17.50 | 10.49 7.54–13.43 6.79–14.18 | 24.40 18.61–30.18 17.11–31.68 | 72% 21% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.94 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 2.07 0.94–3.19 0.65–3.49 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.47–6.94 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.01–5.88 2.62–6.27 | 2.43 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 6.88 3.88–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.