Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.242.59safe0.38–2.320.39–2.100.77–4.42safer0.13–2.570.16–2.320.29–4.90
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.128.69safe2.70–6.432.38–5.865.08–12.29safer2.21–6.921.91–6.334.13–13.25
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3412.6425.98safe9.41–17.269.08–16.2018.49–33.47safer8.32–18.358.12–17.1616.44–35.52
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.057.6115.66safe5.11–10.994.93–10.3010.04–21.29safer4.28–11.824.20–11.038.47–22.85
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.643.166.80safe1.76–5.521.50–4.813.26–10.33safer1.22–6.071.01–5.302.23–11.37
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.649.86safe3.02–7.442.64–6.645.65–14.08safer2.44–8.022.10–7.174.54–15.18
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7645.50safe47.97–61.5538.72–52.29safer46.30–63.2237.05–53.96
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction434340774safe367–501274–407640–908safer349–519256–424605–943
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction72.5571.45safe68.52–76.5867.12–75.77safer67.23–77.8765.81–77.08
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9114.6828.58safe11.07–16.7511.73–17.6222.80–34.37safer10.31–17.5010.98–18.3721.30–35.87
Offsides
39%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.342.75safe0.25–2.570.25–2.430.49–5.00safer0.00–2.870.00–2.720.00–5.59
Yellow cards
33%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.664.88safe1.18–3.281.53–3.782.70–7.06safer0.91–3.541.24–4.082.15–7.62
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.216.17safe1.53–4.401.66–4.773.18–9.17safer1.14–4.781.23–5.192.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.32 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 39% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.92 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.34 9.41–17.26 8.32–18.35 | 12.64 9.08–16.20 8.12–17.16 | 25.98 18.49–33.47 16.44–35.52 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–10.99 4.28–11.82 | 7.61 4.93–10.30 4.20–11.03 | 15.66 10.04–21.29 8.47–22.85 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.22–6.07 | 3.16 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.23–11.37 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.10–7.17 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.76 47.97–61.55 46.30–63.22 | 45.50 38.72–52.29 37.05–53.96 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 434 367–501 349–519 | 340 274–407 256–424 | 774 640–908 605–943 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.55 68.52–76.58 67.23–77.87 | 71.45 67.12–75.77 65.81–77.08 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 13.91 11.07–16.75 10.31–17.50 | 14.68 11.73–17.62 10.98–18.37 | 28.58 22.80–34.37 21.30–35.87 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 2.75 0.49–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 39% 26% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 2.66 1.53–3.78 1.24–4.08 | 4.88 2.70–7.06 2.15–7.62 | 33% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.78 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.