Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.042.76safe0.75–2.690.19–1.890.94–4.58safer0.50–2.940.00–2.120.46–5.06
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.599.03safe3.58–7.311.85–5.335.43–12.64safer3.09–7.801.38–5.804.47–13.59
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.319.2725.58safe12.38–20.235.71–12.8318.09–33.06safer11.29–21.324.75–13.7916.04–35.11
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.726.0116.73safe7.78–13.673.33–8.6911.11–22.36safer6.95–14.502.59–9.439.54–23.92
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.562.236.78safe2.67–6.440.58–3.883.25–10.32safer2.13–6.980.08–4.372.21–11.36
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.559.60safe3.84–8.271.55–5.555.39–13.82safer3.27–8.841.01–6.084.28–14.92
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.3945.82safe47.60–61.1839.03–52.60safer45.93–62.8537.36–54.27
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction532453985safe465–599387–520852–1119safer447–617369–537816–1155
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction78.8575.53safe74.82–82.8871.21–79.86safer73.52–84.1769.90–81.17
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5713.7825.35safe8.73–14.4010.84–16.7319.57–31.13safer7.97–15.1610.09–17.4718.06–32.64
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.513.32safe0.65–2.970.42–2.601.07–5.57safer0.35–3.270.13–2.890.48–6.16
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.694.62safe0.88–2.981.56–3.822.44–6.79safer0.61–3.251.27–4.111.88–7.35
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.776.18safe0.98–3.852.21–5.323.19–9.17safer0.59–4.241.78–5.752.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.04 0.19–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.31 12.38–20.23 11.29–21.32 | 9.27 5.71–12.83 4.75–13.79 | 25.58 18.09–33.06 16.04–35.11 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.67 6.95–14.50 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 16.73 11.11–22.36 9.54–23.92 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 2.23 0.58–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.36 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.27 3.27–8.84 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.01–6.08 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.39 47.60–61.18 45.93–62.85 | 45.82 39.03–52.60 37.36–54.27 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 453 387–520 369–537 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.85 74.82–82.88 73.52–84.17 | 75.53 71.21–79.86 69.90–81.17 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 13.78 10.84–16.73 10.09–17.47 | 25.35 19.57–31.13 18.06–32.64 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.25 | 2.69 1.56–3.82 1.27–4.11 | 4.62 2.44–6.79 1.88–7.35 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.77 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.75 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.