Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.090.702.79safe1.12–3.050.00–1.560.97–4.61safer0.87–3.310.00–1.790.49–5.09
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.782.938.71safe3.92–7.651.19–4.675.11–12.32safer3.43–8.140.72–5.144.15–13.27
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.299.0825.37safe12.36–20.215.52–12.6517.89–32.86safer11.27–21.314.56–13.6015.83–34.91
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.155.7016.85safe8.21–14.093.02–8.3811.23–22.47safer7.38–14.922.28–9.129.66–24.04
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.486.89safe2.54–6.300.82–4.133.36–10.43safer1.99–6.840.33–4.622.32–11.47
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.5210.31safe4.58–9.011.52–5.526.09–14.52safer4.00–9.580.98–6.054.99–15.63
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.4138.80safe54.62–68.2032.01–45.58safer52.95–69.8730.34–47.25
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction530330860safe463–597264–397727–994safer445–616246–414691–1030
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction73.4467.27safe69.41–77.4762.94–71.59safer68.12–78.7661.63–72.90
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5113.7327.24safe10.68–16.3510.78–16.6721.46–33.02safer9.92–17.1110.03–17.4219.95–34.53
Offsides
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.042.71safe0.51–2.830.00–2.130.46–4.96safer0.21–3.130.00–2.420.00–5.55
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.494.31safe0.77–2.871.36–3.622.13–6.49safer0.50–3.131.07–3.911.58–7.05
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.615.73safe0.68–3.552.06–5.172.74–8.72safer0.29–3.941.63–5.591.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.05 0.87–3.31 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 70% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.65 3.43–8.14 | 2.93 1.19–4.67 0.72–5.14 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.36–20.21 11.27–21.31 | 9.08 5.52–12.65 4.56–13.60 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.15 8.21–14.09 7.38–14.92 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.28–9.12 | 16.85 11.23–22.47 9.66–24.04 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.48 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.89 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.47 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.00–9.58 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.98–6.05 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 81% |
| Possession % | 61.41 54.62–68.20 52.95–69.87 | 38.80 32.01–45.58 30.34–47.25 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 530 463–597 445–616 | 330 264–397 246–414 | 860 727–994 691–1030 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.44 69.41–77.47 68.12–78.76 | 67.27 62.94–71.59 61.63–72.90 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 13.51 10.68–16.35 9.92–17.11 | 13.73 10.78–16.67 10.03–17.42 | 27.24 21.46–33.02 19.95–34.53 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.04 0.00–2.13 0.00–2.42 | 2.71 0.46–4.96 0.00–5.55 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.