Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.530.882.41safe0.56–2.500.02–1.730.58–4.23safer0.31–2.750.00–1.960.10–4.71
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.003.148.14safe3.14–6.861.39–4.884.53–11.74safer2.65–7.350.93–5.343.58–12.70
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction14.569.4423.99safe10.63–18.485.88–13.0016.51–31.48safer9.54–19.574.92–13.9614.46–33.53
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.525.6715.19safe6.57–12.462.99–8.359.56–20.81safer5.75–13.292.25–9.098.00–22.38
Blocked shots
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.396.03safe1.76–5.520.74–4.042.49–9.56safer1.21–6.060.24–4.531.45–10.60
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.889.92safe3.82–8.241.88–5.885.70–14.13safer3.24–8.821.35–6.424.59–15.24
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction52.2248.79safe45.43–59.0142.00–55.57safer43.76–60.6840.33–57.24
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction436402838safe369–503335–468704–972safer351–521318–486669–1007
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.7669.14safe63.74–71.7964.82–73.47safer62.44–73.0963.51–74.78
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8014.4827.28safe9.97–15.6411.54–17.4221.50–33.07safer9.21–16.4010.79–18.1720.00–34.57
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.242.79safe0.40–2.720.15–2.330.54–5.05safer0.09–3.020.00–2.620.00–5.64
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.384.12safe0.70–2.791.25–3.511.94–6.30safer0.43–3.060.96–3.801.39–6.86
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.435.71safe0.84–3.711.88–4.992.71–8.70safer0.45–4.101.45–5.411.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 53% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.14–6.86 2.65–7.35 | 3.14 1.39–4.88 0.93–5.34 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.56 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 9.44 5.88–13.00 4.92–13.96 | 23.99 16.51–31.48 14.46–33.53 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.57–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 5.67 2.99–8.35 2.25–9.09 | 15.19 9.56–20.81 8.00–22.38 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 2.39 0.74–4.04 0.24–4.53 | 6.03 2.49–9.56 1.45–10.60 | 62% 15% 23% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.82–8.24 3.24–8.82 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.42 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.24 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.22 45.43–59.01 43.76–60.68 | 48.79 42.00–55.57 40.33–57.24 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 838 704–972 669–1007 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.76 63.74–71.79 62.44–73.09 | 69.14 64.82–73.47 63.51–74.78 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 14.48 11.54–17.42 10.79–18.17 | 27.28 21.50–33.07 20.00–34.57 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 2.79 0.54–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.70–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.71 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+