Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
26%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.492.37safe0.00–1.840.64–2.350.54–4.19safer0.00–2.100.41–2.570.07–4.67
Shots on target
30%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.437.88safe1.59–5.312.69–6.174.27–11.48safer1.10–5.802.22–6.643.32–12.44
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.4223.89safe7.55–15.408.86–15.9816.40–31.38safer6.46–16.497.90–16.9414.35–33.43
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction6.368.8515.21safe3.42–9.306.17–11.539.58–20.83safer2.59–10.135.43–12.278.02–22.40
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.216.43safe1.34–5.101.55–4.862.89–9.96safer0.79–5.651.06–5.351.86–11.00
Corners
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.809.15safe2.14–6.562.80–6.804.94–13.36safer1.56–7.142.27–7.333.83–14.47
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.5054.15safe39.71–53.2947.36–60.93safer38.04–54.9645.69–62.60
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction391431821safe324–458364–497688–955safer305–476347–515652–991
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction69.1873.40safe65.15–73.2169.08–77.72safer63.86–74.5067.77–79.03
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8714.7327.60safe10.03–15.7111.79–17.6821.82–33.39safer9.28–16.4611.04–18.4320.32–34.89
Offsides
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.682.99safe0.15–2.470.59–2.770.74–5.25safer0.00–2.770.30–3.060.15–5.84
Yellow cards
35%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.795.19safe1.35–3.451.66–3.923.02–7.37safer1.09–3.721.37–4.212.46–7.93
Red cards
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.130.32safe0.03–0.350.00–0.320.00–0.67safer0.00–0.500.00–0.450.00–0.95
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.485.41safe1.50–4.370.92–4.032.42–8.40safer1.11–4.760.50–4.461.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.10 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.57 | 2.37 0.54–4.19 0.07–4.67 | 22% 26% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.45 1.59–5.31 1.10–5.80 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 7.88 4.27–11.48 3.32–12.44 | 30% 14% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.47 7.55–15.40 6.46–16.49 | 12.42 8.86–15.98 7.90–16.94 | 23.89 16.40–31.38 14.35–33.43 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 6.36 3.42–9.30 2.59–10.13 | 8.85 6.17–11.53 5.43–12.27 | 15.21 9.58–20.83 8.02–22.40 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.79–5.65 | 3.21 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 6.43 2.89–9.96 1.86–11.00 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.35 2.14–6.56 1.56–7.14 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.27–7.33 | 9.15 4.94–13.36 3.83–14.47 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 46.50 39.71–53.29 38.04–54.96 | 54.15 47.36–60.93 45.69–62.60 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 305–476 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.18 65.15–73.21 63.86–74.50 | 73.40 69.08–77.72 67.77–79.03 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.87 10.03–15.71 9.28–16.46 | 14.73 11.79–17.68 11.04–18.43 | 27.60 21.82–33.39 20.32–34.89 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 2.99 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 5.19 3.02–7.37 2.46–7.93 | 35% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 15% 74% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.48 0.92–4.03 0.50–4.46 | 5.41 2.42–8.40 1.61–9.22 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.