Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.633.57safe0.00–1.911.77–3.481.75–5.39safer0.00–2.161.55–3.711.27–5.87
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.586.9110.49safe1.72–5.445.17–8.656.88–14.09safer1.23–5.934.70–9.125.93–15.05
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1417.8628.01safe6.22–14.0714.30–21.4320.52–35.49safer5.13–15.1613.34–22.3818.47–37.54
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8012.0717.87safe2.85–8.749.39–14.7612.25–23.49safer2.02–9.578.66–15.4910.68–25.06
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.937.58safe0.76–4.533.28–6.594.04–11.11safer0.22–5.072.79–7.083.01–12.15
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.546.7210.26safe1.33–5.764.72–8.726.05–14.48safer0.76–6.334.19–9.254.94–15.59
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.4061.94safe31.61–45.1955.16–68.73safer29.94–46.8653.49–70.40
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction357561918safe290–424494–627784–1051safer272–442477–645748–1087
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction68.6182.24safe64.58–72.6477.91–86.56safer63.29–73.9376.61–87.87
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1411.6525.79safe11.30–16.988.70–14.5920.01–31.57safer10.55–17.737.95–15.3418.50–33.07
Offsides
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.512.88safe0.21–2.530.42–2.600.63–5.13safer0.00–2.830.13–2.890.04–5.72
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.924.26safe1.29–3.390.79–3.052.08–6.43safer1.02–3.650.50–3.341.52–6.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.426.93safe3.07–5.940.86–3.983.93–9.92safer2.68–6.330.44–4.403.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.63 1.77–3.48 1.55–3.71 | 3.57 1.75–5.39 1.27–5.87 | 15% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.72–5.44 1.23–5.93 | 6.91 5.17–8.65 4.70–9.12 | 10.49 6.88–14.09 5.93–15.05 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.14 6.22–14.07 5.13–15.16 | 17.86 14.30–21.43 13.34–22.38 | 28.01 20.52–35.49 18.47–37.54 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.80 2.85–8.74 2.02–9.57 | 12.07 9.39–14.76 8.66–15.49 | 17.87 12.25–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.64 0.76–4.53 0.22–5.07 | 4.93 3.28–6.59 2.79–7.08 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.54 1.33–5.76 0.76–6.33 | 6.72 4.72–8.72 4.19–9.25 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.59 | 80% |
| Possession % | 38.40 31.61–45.19 29.94–46.86 | 61.94 55.16–68.73 53.49–70.40 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 357 290–424 272–442 | 561 494–627 477–645 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.61 64.58–72.64 63.29–73.93 | 82.24 77.91–86.56 76.61–87.87 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 14.14 11.30–16.98 10.55–17.73 | 11.65 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 25.79 20.01–31.57 18.50–33.07 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.88 0.63–5.13 0.04–5.72 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.29–3.39 1.02–3.65 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.51 3.07–5.94 2.68–6.33 | 2.42 0.86–3.98 0.44–4.40 | 6.93 3.93–9.92 3.12–10.73 | 73% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+