Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
27%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.412.50safe0.12–2.060.56–2.270.68–4.32safer0.00–2.310.33–2.500.20–4.80
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.468.63safe2.31–6.042.71–6.205.02–12.23safer1.82–6.522.25–6.664.07–13.19
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5713.9726.54safe8.64–16.4910.41–17.5319.05–34.03safer7.55–17.589.45–18.4917.00–36.08
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.238.8216.05safe4.29–10.176.14–11.5110.43–21.68safer3.46–11.005.41–12.248.86–23.24
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.776.94safe1.29–5.052.12–5.423.40–10.47safer0.74–5.591.63–5.922.37–11.51
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.6710.16safe2.28–6.713.67–7.675.95–14.37safer1.71–7.283.13–8.204.84–15.48
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.9859.47safe35.19–48.7752.68–66.25safer33.52–50.4451.01–67.92
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction335471806safe268–402405–538672–940safer250–420387–555637–976
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.0874.39safe61.05–69.1170.07–78.71safer59.76–70.4068.76–80.02
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8913.7128.61safe12.05–17.7310.77–16.6622.82–34.39safer11.30–18.4910.02–17.4121.32–35.89
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.452.88safe0.26–2.580.36–2.550.62–5.13safer0.00–2.890.07–2.830.03–5.72
Yellow cards
50%
18%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.245.00safe1.72–3.821.11–3.362.83–7.18safer1.45–4.080.82–3.662.27–7.74
Red cards
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.120.31safe0.03–0.350.00–0.310.00–0.66safer0.00–0.500.00–0.440.00–0.94
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.856.00safe1.72–4.591.29–4.403.01–8.99safer1.33–4.980.87–4.832.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 29% 27% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.52 | 4.46 2.71–6.20 2.25–6.66 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.07–13.19 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.57 8.64–16.49 7.55–17.58 | 13.97 10.41–17.53 9.45–18.49 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.23 4.29–10.17 3.46–11.00 | 8.82 6.14–11.51 5.41–12.24 | 16.05 10.43–21.68 8.86–23.24 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.63–5.92 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.13–8.20 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 41.98 35.19–48.77 33.52–50.44 | 59.47 52.68–66.25 51.01–67.92 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 335 268–402 250–420 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 806 672–940 637–976 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.08 61.05–69.11 59.76–70.40 | 74.39 70.07–78.71 68.76–80.02 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 14.89 12.05–17.73 11.30–18.49 | 13.71 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 28.61 22.82–34.39 21.32–35.89 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.89 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.83 | 2.88 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.77 1.72–3.82 1.45–4.08 | 2.24 1.11–3.36 0.82–3.66 | 5.00 2.83–7.18 2.27–7.74 | 50% 18% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 16% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.85 1.29–4.40 0.87–4.83 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.