Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.252.59safe0.37–2.310.39–2.100.77–4.41safer0.12–2.560.16–2.330.29–4.89
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.418.23safe2.95–6.681.67–5.154.62–11.83safer2.46–7.171.20–5.623.67–12.79
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5410.4625.00safe10.62–18.476.90–14.0217.52–32.49safer9.53–19.565.94–14.9815.47–34.54
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.526.7715.29safe5.58–11.464.09–9.459.67–20.92safer4.75–12.293.35–10.198.10–22.48
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.656.58safe2.05–5.811.00–4.303.05–10.12safer1.51–6.360.50–4.792.01–11.15
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.6310.11safe3.27–7.702.63–6.635.90–14.33safer2.70–8.272.09–7.164.79–15.43
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7644.48safe48.96–62.5537.70–51.27safer47.30–64.2236.03–52.94
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction507369876safe440–575303–435743–1010safer422–593285–453707–1046
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction71.4268.56safe67.39–75.4564.24–72.88safer66.10–76.7562.93–74.19
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5613.0624.63safe8.73–14.4010.12–16.0118.85–30.41safer7.97–15.169.37–16.7617.34–31.92
Offsides
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.143.77safe0.47–2.791.05–3.231.52–6.03safer0.17–3.090.76–3.520.93–6.62
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.793.61safe0.77–2.870.66–2.921.43–5.79safer0.51–3.140.37–3.210.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.345.78safe1.00–3.871.79–4.902.79–8.77safer0.61–4.261.36–5.321.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.95–6.68 2.46–7.17 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 10.46 6.90–14.02 5.94–14.98 | 25.00 17.52–32.49 15.47–34.54 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.58–11.46 4.75–12.29 | 6.77 4.09–9.45 3.35–10.19 | 15.29 9.67–20.92 8.10–22.48 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.51–6.36 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.27–7.70 2.70–8.27 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.09–7.16 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.43 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 55.76 48.96–62.55 47.30–64.22 | 44.48 37.70–51.27 36.03–52.94 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 507 440–575 422–593 | 369 303–435 285–453 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.42 67.39–75.45 66.10–76.75 | 68.56 64.24–72.88 62.93–74.19 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 13.06 10.12–16.01 9.37–16.76 | 24.63 18.85–30.41 17.34–31.92 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+