Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.530.583.11safe1.56–3.500.00–1.441.29–4.93safer1.31–3.750.00–1.670.81–5.41
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.692.268.95safe4.83–8.550.51–4.005.34–12.55safer4.34–9.040.05–4.474.38–13.51
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction18.537.2225.75safe14.60–22.453.66–10.7818.26–33.24safer13.51–23.542.70–11.7416.21–35.29
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction12.274.0416.31safe9.33–15.211.36–6.7210.69–21.93safer8.50–16.040.62–7.469.12–23.50
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.821.846.65safe2.93–6.700.18–3.493.12–10.19safer2.39–7.240.00–3.982.08–11.22
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.142.779.91safe4.92–9.350.77–4.775.69–14.12safer4.35–9.930.24–5.304.59–15.23
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6140.64safe52.82–66.4033.85–47.42safer51.15–68.0732.18–49.09
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction539378916safe471–606311–444783–1050safer453–624294–462747–1086
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction76.7670.27safe72.73–80.7965.95–74.59safer71.44–82.0864.64–75.90
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0312.8624.90safe9.20–14.879.92–15.8119.11–30.68safer8.44–15.639.17–16.5617.61–32.18
Offsides
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.033.07safe0.88–3.200.00–2.120.81–5.32safer0.58–3.500.00–2.410.22–5.91
Yellow cards
26%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.233.77safe0.49–2.591.10–3.361.59–5.94safer0.22–2.850.81–3.651.03–6.50
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.854.015.86safe0.41–3.282.46–5.572.87–8.85safer0.02–3.672.03–6.002.06–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.56–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 0.58 0.00–1.44 0.00–1.67 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 80% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.55 4.34–9.04 | 2.26 0.51–4.00 0.05–4.47 | 8.95 5.34–12.55 4.38–13.51 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.53 14.60–22.45 13.51–23.54 | 7.22 3.66–10.78 2.70–11.74 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.50–16.04 | 4.04 1.36–6.72 0.62–7.46 | 16.31 10.69–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.93–6.70 2.39–7.24 | 1.84 0.18–3.49 0.00–3.98 | 6.65 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.22 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.14 4.92–9.35 4.35–9.93 | 2.77 0.77–4.77 0.24–5.30 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 90% |
| Possession % | 59.61 52.82–66.40 51.15–68.07 | 40.64 33.85–47.42 32.18–49.09 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 539 471–606 453–624 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 916 783–1050 747–1086 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.76 72.73–80.79 71.44–82.08 | 70.27 65.95–74.59 64.64–75.90 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.20–14.87 8.44–15.63 | 12.86 9.92–15.81 9.17–16.56 | 24.90 19.11–30.68 17.61–32.18 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.03 0.00–2.12 0.00–2.41 | 3.07 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.77 1.59–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 26% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.85 0.41–3.28 0.02–3.67 | 4.01 2.46–5.57 2.03–6.00 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.06–9.66 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.