Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.682.56safe0.00–1.850.82–2.530.74–4.38safer0.00–2.100.59–2.760.26–4.86
Shots on target
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.064.968.01safe1.19–4.923.22–6.704.41–11.62safer0.70–5.412.75–7.173.45–12.57
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3013.2723.57safe6.37–14.229.71–16.8316.08–31.06safer5.28–15.318.75–17.7914.03–33.11
Shots in box
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction5.518.8314.34safe2.57–8.466.15–11.518.72–19.97safer1.74–9.295.41–12.257.15–21.53
Blocked shots
32%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.295.98safe0.81–4.571.63–4.942.44–9.51safer0.26–5.121.14–5.431.41–10.55
Corners
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.279.24safe1.75–6.183.27–7.275.03–13.45safer1.18–6.752.74–7.813.92–14.56
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.2759.45safe33.48–47.0652.67–66.24safer31.81–48.7351.00–67.91
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction382557939safe315–449491–624805–1073safer296–467473–641770–1108
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction65.0177.25safe60.98–69.0472.92–81.57safer59.68–70.3371.61–82.88
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.0325.76safe10.89–16.579.08–14.9719.98–31.54safer10.14–17.338.33–15.7218.47–33.05
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.853.44safe0.43–2.750.76–2.951.19–5.70safer0.13–3.050.47–3.240.60–6.29
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.104.22safe1.07–3.170.97–3.232.04–6.40safer0.80–3.430.68–3.521.49–6.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.415.64safe1.79–4.660.86–3.972.64–8.63safer1.40–5.050.43–4.391.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.06 1.19–4.92 0.70–5.41 | 4.96 3.22–6.70 2.75–7.17 | 8.01 4.41–11.62 3.45–12.57 | 19% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.30 6.37–14.22 5.28–15.31 | 13.27 9.71–16.83 8.75–17.79 | 23.57 16.08–31.06 14.03–33.11 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 5.51 2.57–8.46 1.74–9.29 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 14.34 8.72–19.97 7.15–21.53 | 15% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.69 0.81–4.57 0.26–5.12 | 3.29 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 5.98 2.44–9.51 1.41–10.55 | 32% 16% 51% |
| Corners | 3.97 1.75–6.18 1.18–6.75 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 9.24 5.03–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 27% 60% |
| Possession % | 40.27 33.48–47.06 31.81–48.73 | 59.45 52.67–66.24 51.00–67.91 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 296–467 | 557 491–624 473–641 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.01 60.98–69.04 59.68–70.33 | 77.25 72.92–81.57 71.61–82.88 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.89–16.57 10.14–17.33 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 25.76 19.98–31.54 18.47–33.05 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.41 0.86–3.97 0.43–4.39 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.