Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
28%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.310.892.21safe0.34–2.280.04–1.750.38–4.03safer0.09–2.530.00–1.980.00–4.51
Shots on target
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.187.74safe2.69–6.421.44–4.934.14–11.35safer2.21–6.910.98–5.393.18–12.30
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7910.3024.09safe9.87–17.716.74–13.8616.60–31.58safer8.77–18.815.78–14.8214.55–33.63
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction8.956.0014.94safe6.00–11.893.31–8.689.32–20.56safer5.17–12.722.58–9.417.75–22.13
Blocked shots
52%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.966.54safe1.70–5.461.31–4.613.00–10.07safer1.15–6.000.82–5.111.97–11.11
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.999.88safe3.68–8.101.99–5.995.67–14.09safer3.10–8.681.46–6.524.56–15.20
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.9049.68safe43.11–56.6942.90–56.47safer41.44–58.3641.22–58.14
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction425426851safe358–492359–492717–984safer340–510342–510681–1020
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction69.0370.38safe65.00–73.0666.06–74.71safer63.71–74.3664.75–76.02
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2613.3026.56safe10.43–16.1010.35–16.2420.78–32.34safer9.67–16.869.60–16.9919.27–33.85
Offsides
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.423.09safe0.51–2.830.32–2.510.83–5.34safer0.21–3.130.03–2.800.24–5.93
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.023.82safe0.76–2.860.89–3.151.65–6.00safer0.49–3.120.60–3.441.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.215.62safe0.97–3.841.65–4.762.62–8.61safer0.58–4.231.23–5.191.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.21 0.38–4.03 0.00–4.51 | 46% 28% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.69–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 3.18 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 7.74 4.14–11.35 3.18–12.30 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.87–17.71 8.77–18.81 | 10.30 6.74–13.86 5.78–14.82 | 24.09 16.60–31.58 14.55–33.63 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.00–11.89 5.17–12.72 | 6.00 3.31–8.68 2.58–9.41 | 14.94 9.32–20.56 7.75–22.13 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.82–5.11 | 6.54 3.00–10.07 1.97–11.11 | 52% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 49.90 43.11–56.69 41.44–58.36 | 49.68 42.90–56.47 41.22–58.14 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–510 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.03 65.00–73.06 63.71–74.36 | 70.38 66.06–74.71 64.75–76.02 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 13.26 10.43–16.10 9.67–16.86 | 13.30 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 26.56 20.78–32.34 19.27–33.85 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.21 1.65–4.76 1.23–5.19 | 5.62 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.