Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.781.832.61safe0.00–1.740.98–2.690.78–4.43safer0.00–2.000.75–2.910.31–4.91
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.837.82safe1.12–4.853.09–6.584.21–11.42safer0.63–5.342.63–7.043.26–12.38
Total shots
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1714.5224.69safe6.24–14.0910.96–18.0817.20–32.17safer5.15–15.1810.00–19.0415.15–34.23
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.139.5815.71safe3.18–9.076.90–12.2610.09–21.33safer2.35–9.906.16–13.008.52–22.90
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.064.257.31safe1.18–4.942.60–5.913.78–10.85safer0.63–5.482.11–6.402.74–11.88
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.679.68safe1.80–6.233.67–7.675.47–13.90safer1.23–6.803.14–8.204.36–15.00
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1060.77safe32.31–45.8953.98–67.55safer30.64–47.5652.31–69.22
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction334520854safe267–401453–586720–987safer249–419436–604684–1023
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction63.3375.40safe59.30–67.3571.08–79.72safer58.00–68.6569.77–81.03
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2613.0927.35safe11.42–17.1010.15–16.0421.57–33.14safer10.67–17.859.40–16.7920.07–34.64
Offsides
27%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.893.22safe0.18–2.500.79–2.980.97–5.48safer0.00–2.800.51–3.270.38–6.07
Yellow cards
50%
19%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.904.33safe1.38–3.480.77–3.032.15–6.51safer1.12–3.750.48–3.321.60–7.07
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
16%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.165.47safe1.88–4.750.60–3.712.48–8.47safer1.49–5.140.18–4.141.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.78 0.00–1.74 0.00–2.00 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.91 | 2.61 0.78–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 15% 22% 62% |
| Shots on target | 2.98 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 4.83 3.09–6.58 2.63–7.04 | 7.82 4.21–11.42 3.26–12.38 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 10.17 6.24–14.09 5.15–15.18 | 14.52 10.96–18.08 10.00–19.04 | 24.69 17.20–32.17 15.15–34.23 | 16% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.18–9.07 2.35–9.90 | 9.58 6.90–12.26 6.16–13.00 | 15.71 10.09–21.33 8.52–22.90 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.63–5.48 | 4.25 2.60–5.91 2.11–6.40 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.01 1.80–6.23 1.23–6.80 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.14–8.20 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 39.10 32.31–45.89 30.64–47.56 | 60.77 53.98–67.55 52.31–69.22 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–419 | 520 453–586 436–604 | 854 720–987 684–1023 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.33 59.30–67.35 58.00–68.65 | 75.40 71.08–79.72 69.77–81.03 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 14.26 11.42–17.10 10.67–17.85 | 13.09 10.15–16.04 9.40–16.79 | 27.35 21.57–33.14 20.07–34.64 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 27% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.43 1.38–3.48 1.12–3.75 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 50% 19% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.16 0.60–3.71 0.18–4.14 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 61% 16% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.