Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.902.52safe0.66–2.590.04–1.750.70–4.34safer0.40–2.840.00–1.980.22–4.82
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.143.418.55safe3.28–7.011.67–5.154.95–12.16safer2.79–7.501.20–5.623.99–13.12
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7410.0524.79safe10.81–18.666.49–13.6117.30–32.27safer9.72–19.755.53–14.5715.25–34.32
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.736.4316.16safe6.78–12.673.75–9.1110.53–21.78safer5.95–13.503.01–9.858.97–23.35
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.426.24safe1.94–5.700.77–4.072.71–9.78safer1.40–6.250.27–4.571.67–10.81
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.889.85safe3.76–8.181.88–5.885.64–14.06safer3.18–8.761.35–6.414.53–15.17
Possession %
72%
25%
homeawayprediction55.0444.41safe48.25–61.8337.63–51.20safer46.58–63.5035.96–52.87
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction486389875safe419–553322–455741–1008safer401–571305–473705–1044
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction74.4169.78safe70.39–78.4465.46–74.10safer69.09–79.7464.15–75.41
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1214.0325.15safe8.28–13.9511.09–16.9819.37–30.93safer7.52–14.7110.34–17.7217.86–32.43
Offsides
54%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.293.28safe0.83–3.150.20–2.391.03–5.54safer0.53–3.450.00–2.670.44–6.13
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.774.40safe0.58–2.681.64–3.902.22–6.58safer0.31–2.941.35–4.191.66–7.13
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
27%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.355.73safe0.94–3.821.79–4.912.74–8.72safer0.56–4.201.37–5.331.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 55% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.14 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 8.55 4.95–12.16 3.99–13.12 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.74 10.81–18.66 9.72–19.75 | 10.05 6.49–13.61 5.53–14.57 | 24.79 17.30–32.27 15.25–34.32 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.78–12.67 5.95–13.50 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 16.16 10.53–21.78 8.97–23.35 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 2.42 0.77–4.07 0.27–4.57 | 6.24 2.71–9.78 1.67–10.81 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.18 3.18–8.76 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.41 | 9.85 5.64–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.04 48.25–61.83 46.58–63.50 | 44.41 37.63–51.20 35.96–52.87 | — | 72% 25% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.41 70.39–78.44 69.09–79.74 | 69.78 65.46–74.10 64.15–75.41 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.28–13.95 7.52–14.71 | 14.03 11.09–16.98 10.34–17.72 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.86–32.43 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.67 | 3.28 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 54% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 4.40 2.22–6.58 1.66–7.13 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.93–9.54 | 27% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+