Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 18·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.840.613.46safe1.87–3.810.00–1.471.63–5.28safer1.62–4.060.00–1.701.15–5.76
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.222.319.53safe5.36–9.090.56–4.055.93–13.14safer4.87–9.580.10–4.524.97–14.09
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.937.8526.78safe15.00–22.854.29–11.4219.29–34.27safer13.91–23.943.33–12.3817.24–36.32
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.804.5017.30safe9.86–15.751.82–7.1811.68–22.92safer9.03–16.581.08–7.9110.11–24.49
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.371.846.20safe2.48–6.250.18–3.492.67–9.74safer1.94–6.790.00–3.981.63–10.77
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.152.779.92safe4.94–9.360.77–4.775.71–14.14safer4.36–9.940.24–5.314.60–15.24
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction65.8734.00safe59.08–72.6627.21–40.78safer57.41–74.3325.54–42.46
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction609310919safe542–676243–376785–1052safer523–694226–394749–1088
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction81.6368.78safe77.60–85.6664.46–73.10safer76.31–86.9563.15–74.41
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8614.2426.10safe9.02–14.6911.30–17.1920.32–31.88safer8.26–15.4510.55–17.9418.82–33.39
Offsides
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.152.74safe0.43–2.750.06–2.250.49–5.00safer0.13–3.050.00–2.530.00–5.59
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.524.31safe0.74–2.841.39–3.642.13–6.49safer0.48–3.111.10–3.941.57–7.04
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.170.24safe0.00–0.230.00–0.350.00–0.58safer0.00–0.380.00–0.490.00–0.87
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.754.276.01safe0.31–3.182.71–5.823.02–9.01safer0.00–3.572.29–6.252.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.84 1.87–3.81 1.62–4.06 | 0.61 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 3.46 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.22 5.36–9.09 4.87–9.58 | 2.31 0.56–4.05 0.10–4.52 | 9.53 5.93–13.14 4.97–14.09 | 93% |
| Total shots | 18.93 15.00–22.85 13.91–23.94 | 7.85 4.29–11.42 3.33–12.38 | 26.78 19.29–34.27 17.24–36.32 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.80 9.86–15.75 9.03–16.58 | 4.50 1.82–7.18 1.08–7.91 | 17.30 11.68–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 1.84 0.18–3.49 0.00–3.98 | 6.20 2.67–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.15 4.94–9.36 4.36–9.94 | 2.77 0.77–4.77 0.24–5.31 | 9.92 5.71–14.14 4.60–15.24 | 90% |
| Possession % | 65.87 59.08–72.66 57.41–74.33 | 34.00 27.21–40.78 25.54–42.46 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 609 542–676 523–694 | 310 243–376 226–394 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.63 77.60–85.66 76.31–86.95 | 68.78 64.46–73.10 63.15–74.41 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 14.24 11.30–17.19 10.55–17.94 | 26.10 20.32–31.88 18.82–33.39 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.53 | 2.74 0.49–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.52 1.39–3.64 1.10–3.94 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.04 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.75 0.31–3.18 0.00–3.57 | 4.27 2.71–5.82 2.29–6.25 | 6.01 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+