Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.783.49safe1.74–3.680.00–1.631.66–5.31safer1.49–3.930.00–1.861.18–5.79
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.393.0210.41safe5.53–9.251.27–4.766.80–14.01safer5.04–9.740.81–5.225.85–14.97
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.728.8529.57safe16.79–24.645.29–12.4122.08–37.06safer15.70–25.734.33–13.3720.03–39.11
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.995.4119.40safe11.05–16.942.72–8.0913.78–25.02safer10.22–17.771.99–8.8212.21–26.59
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.157.84safe3.80–7.570.50–3.804.30–11.37safer3.26–8.110.00–4.293.27–12.41
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.052.9410.99safe5.84–10.260.94–4.946.78–15.20safer5.26–10.840.41–5.475.67–16.31
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.2035.30safe58.41–71.9928.52–42.09safer56.74–73.6626.85–43.76
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction589305894safe522–657238–371760–1028safer504–675221–389725–1063
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction81.6270.05safe77.59–85.6565.72–74.37safer76.30–86.9464.41–75.68
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6813.1923.87safe7.84–13.5210.24–16.1318.09–29.65safer7.09–14.279.49–16.8816.58–31.15
Offsides
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.182.75safe0.41–2.730.09–2.280.50–5.00safer0.11–3.030.00–2.560.00–5.59
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.373.92safe0.50–2.601.24–3.501.74–6.10safer0.24–2.870.95–3.791.19–6.66
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.506.64safe0.70–3.572.94–6.053.64–9.63safer0.31–3.962.52–6.482.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.74–3.68 1.49–3.93 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.49 1.66–5.31 1.18–5.79 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.39 5.53–9.25 5.04–9.74 | 3.02 1.27–4.76 0.81–5.22 | 10.41 6.80–14.01 5.85–14.97 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.72 16.79–24.64 15.70–25.73 | 8.85 5.29–12.41 4.33–13.37 | 29.57 22.08–37.06 20.03–39.11 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.99 11.05–16.94 10.22–17.77 | 5.41 2.72–8.09 1.99–8.82 | 19.40 13.78–25.02 12.21–26.59 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.80–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.15 0.50–3.80 0.00–4.29 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.05 5.84–10.26 5.26–10.84 | 2.94 0.94–4.94 0.41–5.47 | 10.99 6.78–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 92% |
| Possession % | 65.20 58.41–71.99 56.74–73.66 | 35.30 28.52–42.09 26.85–43.76 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 589 522–657 504–675 | 305 238–371 221–389 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.62 77.59–85.65 76.30–86.94 | 70.05 65.72–74.37 64.41–75.68 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.84–13.52 7.09–14.27 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 23.87 18.09–29.65 16.58–31.15 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.56 | 2.75 0.50–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 4.50 2.94–6.05 2.52–6.48 | 6.64 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+