Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.022.56safe0.57–2.500.17–1.880.73–4.38safer0.31–2.750.00–2.100.25–4.86
Shots on target
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.338.22safe3.03–6.751.59–5.074.62–11.83safer2.54–7.241.12–5.543.66–12.78
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1610.1625.32safe11.24–19.096.60–13.7217.83–32.81safer10.14–20.185.64–14.6815.78–34.86
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.556.1315.68safe6.61–12.493.45–8.8110.05–21.30safer5.78–13.322.71–9.548.49–22.87
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.476.45safe2.10–5.860.81–4.122.91–9.98safer1.56–6.410.32–4.611.88–11.02
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.059.56safe3.29–7.722.05–6.055.35–13.77safer2.72–8.291.52–6.584.24–14.88
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.7449.09safe43.95–57.5342.31–55.88safer42.28–59.2040.64–57.55
Passes
60%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction463432895safe396–531365–498761–1029safer378–549348–516726–1064
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.5172.37safe67.48–75.5468.05–76.70safer66.19–76.8366.74–78.01
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5812.2023.78safe8.74–14.429.25–15.1417.99–29.56safer7.98–15.178.51–15.8916.49–31.06
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.813.53safe0.55–2.880.72–2.901.27–5.78safer0.25–3.180.43–3.190.68–6.37
Yellow cards
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.793.73safe0.89–2.990.66–2.921.55–5.91safer0.63–3.260.37–3.211.00–6.47
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.395.81safe0.99–3.861.83–4.942.82–8.80safer0.60–4.251.41–5.372.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 64% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.16 11.24–19.09 10.14–20.18 | 10.16 6.60–13.72 5.64–14.68 | 25.32 17.83–32.81 15.78–34.86 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.49 5.78–13.32 | 6.13 3.45–8.81 2.71–9.54 | 15.68 10.05–21.30 8.49–22.87 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 2.47 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 6.45 2.91–9.98 1.88–11.02 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 9.56 5.35–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.74 43.95–57.53 42.28–59.20 | 49.09 42.31–55.88 40.64–57.55 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 463 396–531 378–549 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 60% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.51 67.48–75.54 66.19–76.83 | 72.37 68.05–76.70 66.74–78.01 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.42 7.98–15.17 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.51–15.89 | 23.78 17.99–29.56 16.49–31.06 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.