Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.042.36safe0.35–2.290.18–1.890.54–4.18safer0.10–2.540.00–2.120.06–4.66
Shots on target
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.247.83safe2.72–6.451.50–4.994.22–11.43safer2.23–6.941.04–5.453.27–12.39
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.859.7323.57safe9.92–17.776.16–13.2916.09–31.06safer8.83–18.865.20–14.2514.04–33.11
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction8.646.3114.95safe5.70–11.583.63–8.999.33–20.58safer4.87–12.412.90–9.737.76–22.14
Blocked shots
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.396.00safe1.73–5.490.74–4.042.47–9.54safer1.19–6.040.25–4.541.43–10.57
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.309.96safe3.44–7.872.30–6.305.74–14.17safer2.86–8.441.77–6.844.63–15.28
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.8446.99safe47.05–60.6340.20–53.77safer45.38–62.3038.53–55.44
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction450370820safe383–517303–436686–954safer365–535286–454650–989
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction67.4268.61safe63.39–71.4464.29–72.93safer62.09–72.7462.98–74.24
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1714.0527.22safe10.33–16.0011.11–17.0021.44–33.00safer9.57–16.7610.36–17.7519.93–34.51
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.292.87safe0.42–2.740.20–2.380.62–5.12safer0.12–3.040.00–2.670.03–5.71
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.404.32safe0.88–2.971.27–3.532.15–6.50safer0.61–3.240.98–3.821.59–7.06
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
29%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.135.48safe0.91–3.781.57–4.692.48–8.47safer0.52–4.171.15–5.111.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.36 0.54–4.18 0.06–4.66 | 43% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.45 2.23–6.94 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.04–5.45 | 7.83 4.22–11.43 3.27–12.39 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 9.73 6.16–13.29 5.20–14.25 | 23.57 16.09–31.06 14.04–33.11 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.64 5.70–11.58 4.87–12.41 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.90–9.73 | 14.95 9.33–20.58 7.76–22.14 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 2.39 0.74–4.04 0.25–4.54 | 6.00 2.47–9.54 1.43–10.57 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.86–8.44 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.84 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.84 47.05–60.63 45.38–62.30 | 46.99 40.20–53.77 38.53–55.44 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 365–535 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 820 686–954 650–989 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.42 63.39–71.44 62.09–72.74 | 68.61 64.29–72.93 62.98–74.24 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.36–17.75 | 27.22 21.44–33.00 19.93–34.51 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.87 0.62–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.32 2.15–6.50 1.59–7.06 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.13 1.57–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 5.48 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 29% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.