Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.530.613.14safe1.56–3.500.00–1.471.32–4.96safer1.31–3.750.00–1.700.84–5.44
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.202.439.63safe5.33–9.060.69–4.176.02–13.23safer4.84–9.550.22–4.645.07–14.19
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.117.2926.40safe15.18–23.033.73–10.8618.91–33.89safer14.09–24.122.77–11.8216.86–35.94
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.074.1517.22safe10.13–16.011.46–6.8311.59–22.84safer9.30–16.840.73–7.5610.03–24.41
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.031.956.98safe3.15–6.920.29–3.603.45–10.52safer2.61–7.460.00–4.092.41–11.55
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.422.9410.36safe5.21–9.640.94–4.946.15–14.57safer4.64–10.210.40–5.475.04–15.68
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.1639.36safe53.37–66.9532.58–46.15safer51.70–68.6230.91–47.82
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction537364901safe470–604297–430767–1034safer452–622280–448731–1070
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction77.1670.32safe73.13–81.1966.00–74.65safer71.84–82.4864.69–75.95
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.2426.16safe10.09–15.7610.29–16.1820.38–31.94safer9.33–16.529.54–16.9318.87–33.45
Offsides
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.062.76safe0.54–2.860.00–2.150.51–5.01safer0.24–3.170.00–2.440.00–5.60
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.403.82safe0.37–2.471.27–3.531.64–5.99safer0.10–2.730.98–3.821.08–6.55
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.854.456.30safe0.41–3.292.89–6.013.31–9.29safer0.03–3.672.47–6.432.50–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.56–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 0.61 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.33–9.06 4.84–9.55 | 2.43 0.69–4.17 0.22–4.64 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.11 15.18–23.03 14.09–24.12 | 7.29 3.73–10.86 2.77–11.82 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.07 10.13–16.01 9.30–16.84 | 4.15 1.46–6.83 0.73–7.56 | 17.22 11.59–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.92 2.61–7.46 | 1.95 0.29–3.60 0.00–4.09 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.42 5.21–9.64 4.64–10.21 | 2.94 0.94–4.94 0.40–5.47 | 10.36 6.15–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 90% |
| Possession % | 60.16 53.37–66.95 51.70–68.62 | 39.36 32.58–46.15 30.91–47.82 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 452–622 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.16 73.13–81.19 71.84–82.48 | 70.32 66.00–74.65 64.69–75.95 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.92 10.09–15.76 9.33–16.52 | 13.24 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.93 | 26.16 20.38–31.94 18.87–33.45 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.17 | 1.06 0.00–2.15 0.00–2.44 | 2.76 0.51–5.01 0.00–5.60 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.85 0.41–3.29 0.03–3.67 | 4.45 2.89–6.01 2.47–6.43 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.50–10.10 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.