Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
21%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.831.982.81safe0.00–1.801.12–2.830.99–4.63safer0.00–2.050.90–3.060.51–5.11
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.218.34safe1.26–4.993.47–6.954.73–11.94safer0.77–5.483.00–7.423.78–12.90
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5615.1725.73safe6.64–14.4911.60–18.7318.24–33.22safer5.55–15.5810.65–19.6916.19–35.27
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9410.2816.22safe3.00–8.897.60–12.9610.60–21.85safer2.17–9.716.86–13.709.03–23.41
Blocked shots
30%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.154.017.16safe1.27–5.032.36–5.663.62–10.69safer0.72–5.581.86–6.152.59–11.73
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.559.34safe1.58–6.003.55–7.555.13–13.55safer1.00–6.583.02–8.084.02–14.66
Possession %
26%
71%
homeawayprediction45.1655.29safe38.37–51.9548.50–62.07safer36.70–53.6246.83–63.74
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction392470861safe325–459403–536728–995safer306–477386–554692–1031
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction67.0774.94safe63.04–71.1070.61–79.26safer61.75–72.3969.31–80.57
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3912.4825.87safe10.55–16.239.54–15.4320.09–31.65safer9.80–16.988.79–16.1718.58–33.16
Offsides
20%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.323.61safe0.13–2.451.22–3.411.35–5.86safer0.00–2.750.93–3.700.76–6.45
Yellow cards
52%
18%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.114.83safe1.67–3.770.98–3.242.65–7.01safer1.40–4.040.69–3.532.09–7.57
Red cards
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.210.110.33safe0.05–0.370.00–0.300.00–0.68safer0.00–0.520.00–0.430.00–0.96
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.295.59safe1.86–4.730.74–3.852.60–8.58safer1.47–5.120.31–4.281.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.83 0.00–1.80 0.00–2.05 | 1.98 1.12–2.83 0.90–3.06 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 15% 21% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.99 0.77–5.48 | 5.21 3.47–6.95 3.00–7.42 | 8.34 4.73–11.94 3.78–12.90 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.56 6.64–14.49 5.55–15.58 | 15.17 11.60–18.73 10.65–19.69 | 25.73 18.24–33.22 16.19–35.27 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 5.94 3.00–8.89 2.17–9.71 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.70 | 16.22 10.60–21.85 9.03–23.41 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.03 0.72–5.58 | 4.01 2.36–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 30% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.00 1.00–6.58 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.08 | 9.34 5.13–13.55 4.02–14.66 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 45.16 38.37–51.95 36.70–53.62 | 55.29 48.50–62.07 46.83–63.74 | — | 26% 71% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 306–477 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 861 728–995 692–1031 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.07 63.04–71.10 61.75–72.39 | 74.94 70.61–79.26 69.31–80.57 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.39 10.55–16.23 9.80–16.98 | 12.48 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.17 | 25.87 20.09–31.65 18.58–33.16 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.29 0.13–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 2.32 1.22–3.41 0.93–3.70 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 20% 19% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 2.72 1.67–3.77 1.40–4.04 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.83 2.65–7.01 2.09–7.57 | 52% 18% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.21 0.05–0.37 0.00–0.52 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 17% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.29 0.74–3.85 0.31–4.28 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+