Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.402.63safe0.26–2.200.54–2.250.81–4.45safer0.01–2.450.32–2.480.33–4.93
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.568.88safe2.46–6.182.81–6.305.27–12.48safer1.97–6.672.35–6.774.32–13.44
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8713.5025.37safe7.95–15.809.93–17.0617.88–32.86safer6.86–16.898.98–18.0215.83–34.91
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.728.5216.25safe4.78–10.675.84–11.2010.62–21.87safer3.95–11.505.11–11.949.06–23.44
Blocked shots
33%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.646.67safe1.15–4.921.99–5.293.14–10.21safer0.61–5.461.49–5.782.10–11.24
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.675.099.76safe2.46–6.883.09–7.095.54–13.97safer1.88–7.462.55–7.624.44–15.08
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.9251.80safe41.13–54.7145.01–58.58safer39.46–56.3843.34–60.26
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction424459883safe357–491393–526750–1017safer339–509375–543714–1053
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction70.6073.07safe66.57–74.6368.75–77.39safer65.28–75.9267.44–78.70
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4512.8825.33safe9.61–15.289.94–15.8319.55–31.11safer8.85–16.049.19–16.5818.04–32.62
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.363.36safe0.83–3.150.27–2.461.10–5.61safer0.53–3.460.00–2.740.51–6.20
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.204.19safe0.94–3.041.07–3.332.01–6.37safer0.67–3.300.78–3.621.45–6.92
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.845.99safe1.71–4.581.29–4.403.00–8.98safer1.32–4.970.86–4.832.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 4.56 2.81–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.87 7.95–15.80 6.86–16.89 | 13.50 9.93–17.06 8.98–18.02 | 25.37 17.88–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.78–10.67 3.95–11.50 | 8.52 5.84–11.20 5.11–11.94 | 16.25 10.62–21.87 9.06–23.44 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.92 0.61–5.46 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 6.67 3.14–10.21 2.10–11.24 | 33% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.46–6.88 1.88–7.46 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 47.92 41.13–54.71 39.46–56.38 | 51.80 45.01–58.58 43.34–60.26 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–509 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.60 66.57–74.63 65.28–75.92 | 73.07 68.75–77.39 67.44–78.70 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.45 9.61–15.28 8.85–16.04 | 12.88 9.94–15.83 9.19–16.58 | 25.33 19.55–31.11 18.04–32.62 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.46 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.92 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.83 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.80 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.