Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.243.24safe0.04–1.971.38–3.091.42–5.07safer0.00–2.231.15–3.320.94–5.55
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.726.3510.07safe1.86–5.584.60–8.096.46–13.67safer1.37–6.074.14–8.555.51–14.63
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4916.3428.83safe8.56–16.4112.78–19.9021.34–36.32safer7.47–17.5111.82–20.8619.29–38.37
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7611.2518.01safe3.82–9.708.57–13.9312.39–23.64safer2.99–10.537.83–14.6710.82–25.20
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.417.86safe1.56–5.332.76–6.064.32–11.39safer1.02–5.872.26–6.553.28–12.43
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.839.87safe1.83–6.263.82–7.835.66–14.08safer1.26–6.833.29–8.364.55–15.19
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.8260.21safe34.03–47.6153.42–66.99safer32.36–49.2851.75–68.67
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction378555933safe311–445488–621799–1066safer292–463471–639763–1102
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction66.7381.33safe62.70–70.7677.01–85.65safer61.41–72.0575.70–86.96
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0110.8223.83safe10.18–15.857.87–13.7618.05–29.61safer9.42–16.617.12–14.5116.54–31.12
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.133.52safe0.23–2.551.04–3.221.27–5.78safer0.00–2.860.75–3.510.68–6.37
Yellow cards
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.633.94safe1.25–3.350.51–2.761.76–6.12safer0.99–3.620.21–3.051.20–6.67
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.486.49safe2.57–5.450.93–4.043.50–9.49safer2.19–5.830.50–4.472.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.23 | 2.24 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.32 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 6.35 4.60–8.09 4.14–8.55 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.51 | 16.34 12.78–19.90 11.82–20.86 | 28.83 21.34–36.32 19.29–38.37 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.70 2.99–10.53 | 11.25 8.57–13.93 7.83–14.67 | 18.01 12.39–23.64 10.82–25.20 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.56–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 4.41 2.76–6.06 2.26–6.55 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.43 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.05 1.83–6.26 1.26–6.83 | 5.83 3.82–7.83 3.29–8.36 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 40.82 34.03–47.61 32.36–49.28 | 60.21 53.42–66.99 51.75–68.67 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 378 311–445 292–463 | 555 488–621 471–639 | 933 799–1066 763–1102 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.73 62.70–70.76 61.41–72.05 | 81.33 77.01–85.65 75.70–86.96 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.01 10.18–15.85 9.42–16.61 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 23.83 18.05–29.61 16.54–31.12 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.86 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 1.63 0.51–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.01 2.57–5.45 2.19–5.83 | 2.48 0.93–4.04 0.50–4.47 | 6.49 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.