Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.812.44safe0.66–2.600.00–1.670.62–4.27safer0.41–2.850.00–1.890.14–4.75
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.098.05safe3.10–6.831.35–4.834.45–11.66safer2.61–7.320.88–5.303.49–12.61
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.639.3523.97safe10.70–18.555.78–12.9116.49–31.46safer9.61–19.644.82–13.8714.44–33.51
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.655.3414.99safe6.70–12.592.66–8.029.36–20.61safer5.87–13.421.92–8.767.80–22.18
Blocked shots
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.205.90safe1.82–5.580.54–3.852.37–9.44safer1.28–6.130.05–4.341.33–10.47
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.599.34safe3.54–7.971.59–5.595.13–13.55safer2.97–8.541.05–6.124.02–14.66
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.5850.34safe43.79–57.3743.55–57.12safer42.12–59.0441.88–58.79
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction429424853safe362–496357–490719–986safer343–514340–508683–1022
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction68.9771.57safe64.94–73.0067.25–75.89safer63.65–74.2965.94–77.20
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0312.8625.88safe10.19–15.879.91–15.8020.10–31.67safer9.43–16.629.16–16.5518.60–33.17
Offsides
48%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.172.81safe0.48–2.800.07–2.260.56–5.06safer0.18–3.110.00–2.550.00–5.65
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.274.16safe0.84–2.941.14–3.401.98–6.34safer0.58–3.210.85–3.691.42–6.89
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.335.55safe0.79–3.661.77–4.882.56–8.54safer0.40–4.051.34–5.311.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.89 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 57% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 3.09 1.35–4.83 0.88–5.30 | 8.05 4.45–11.66 3.49–12.61 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.63 10.70–18.55 9.61–19.64 | 9.35 5.78–12.91 4.82–13.87 | 23.97 16.49–31.46 14.44–33.51 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.65 6.70–12.59 5.87–13.42 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.76 | 14.99 9.36–20.61 7.80–22.18 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.28–6.13 | 2.20 0.54–3.85 0.05–4.34 | 5.90 2.37–9.44 1.33–10.47 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.05–6.12 | 9.34 5.13–13.55 4.02–14.66 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 50.58 43.79–57.37 42.12–59.04 | 50.34 43.55–57.12 41.88–58.79 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 429 362–496 343–514 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.97 64.94–73.00 63.65–74.29 | 71.57 67.25–75.89 65.94–77.20 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.19–15.87 9.43–16.62 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 25.88 20.10–31.67 18.60–33.17 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.17 0.07–2.26 0.00–2.55 | 2.81 0.56–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 48% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.42–6.89 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.31 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.