Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.422.58safe0.18–2.120.57–2.280.75–4.40safer0.00–2.370.34–2.510.28–4.88
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.388.52safe2.28–6.002.63–6.124.91–12.12safer1.79–6.492.17–6.583.96–13.08
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6013.1225.72safe8.67–16.529.56–16.6818.23–33.21safer7.58–17.618.60–17.6416.18–35.26
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.778.3016.07safe4.82–10.715.62–10.9910.45–21.69safer3.99–11.544.89–11.728.88–23.26
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.486.68safe1.32–5.081.83–5.143.15–10.22safer0.77–5.631.34–5.632.11–11.25
Corners
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.969.40safe2.23–6.652.96–6.965.19–13.62safer1.65–7.232.43–7.504.08–14.72
Possession %
25%
72%
homeawayprediction44.6355.28safe37.84–51.4248.50–62.07safer36.17–53.0946.83–63.74
Passes
25%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction393472864safe326–460405–538731–998safer307–478388–556695–1034
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction68.0675.03safe64.03–72.0870.71–79.35safer62.73–73.3869.40–80.66
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3212.8126.13safe10.48–16.169.86–15.7520.34–31.91safer9.73–16.919.11–16.5018.84–33.41
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.603.32safe0.56–2.880.51–2.691.07–5.57safer0.26–3.180.22–2.980.48–6.16
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.234.32safe1.04–3.141.10–3.362.14–6.50safer0.77–3.400.81–3.651.58–7.06
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.982.915.89safe1.54–4.421.35–4.462.89–8.88safer1.16–4.800.93–4.892.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.38 2.63–6.12 2.17–6.58 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.60 8.67–16.52 7.58–17.61 | 13.12 9.56–16.68 8.60–17.64 | 25.72 18.23–33.21 16.18–35.26 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.82–10.71 3.99–11.54 | 8.30 5.62–10.99 4.89–11.72 | 16.07 10.45–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.08 0.77–5.63 | 3.48 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.68 3.15–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.65 1.65–7.23 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.50 | 9.40 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.72 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.63 37.84–51.42 36.17–53.09 | 55.28 48.50–62.07 46.83–63.74 | — | 25% 72% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 307–478 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 25% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.03–72.08 62.73–73.38 | 75.03 70.71–79.35 69.40–80.66 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.32 10.48–16.16 9.73–16.91 | 12.81 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 26.13 20.34–31.91 18.84–33.41 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.32 2.14–6.50 1.58–7.06 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.42 1.16–4.80 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 5.89 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+