Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.362.80safe0.47–2.410.50–2.210.98–4.62safer0.22–2.660.27–2.440.50–5.10
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.624.288.90safe2.76–6.482.53–6.025.29–12.50safer2.27–6.972.07–6.484.34–13.46
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8512.1225.97safe9.92–17.778.56–15.6818.48–33.45safer8.83–18.867.60–16.6416.43–35.50
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.607.7816.38safe5.65–11.545.10–10.4610.75–22.00safer4.82–12.374.36–11.209.19–23.57
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.146.63safe1.61–5.371.48–4.793.09–10.16safer1.06–5.920.99–5.282.06–11.20
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.619.61safe2.79–7.212.61–6.615.39–13.82safer2.21–7.792.07–7.144.29–14.93
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4247.15safe46.63–60.2140.37–53.94safer44.96–61.8838.70–55.61
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction476430906safe409–543364–496772–1040safer391–561346–514737–1075
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction71.3070.94safe67.27–75.3366.61–75.26safer65.98–76.6265.30–76.57
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5411.4724.00safe9.70–15.378.52–14.4118.22–29.79safer8.94–16.137.78–15.1616.72–31.29
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.813.74safe0.77–3.090.72–2.901.49–6.00safer0.47–3.390.43–3.190.90–6.59
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.094.15safe1.01–3.110.96–3.221.97–6.33safer0.74–3.370.67–3.511.41–6.88
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.015.80safe1.35–4.221.46–4.572.81–8.79safer0.96–4.611.03–4.991.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 39% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 4.28 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 12.12 8.56–15.68 7.60–16.64 | 25.97 18.48–33.45 16.43–35.50 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.65–11.54 4.82–12.37 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.20 | 16.38 10.75–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.92 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.06–11.20 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.79–7.21 2.21–7.79 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 53.42 46.63–60.21 44.96–61.88 | 47.15 40.37–53.94 38.70–55.61 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 476 409–543 391–561 | 430 364–496 346–514 | 906 772–1040 737–1075 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.30 67.27–75.33 65.98–76.62 | 70.94 66.61–75.26 65.30–76.57 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.37 8.94–16.13 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.78–15.16 | 24.00 18.22–29.79 16.72–31.29 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.74 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.41–6.88 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.