Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.070.653.72safe2.10–4.040.00–1.511.90–5.54safer1.85–4.290.00–1.731.42–6.02
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.792.5010.29safe5.93–9.650.76–4.246.68–13.89safer5.44–10.140.29–4.715.73–14.85
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.467.4827.94safe16.54–24.393.92–11.0420.46–35.43safer15.45–25.482.96–12.0018.41–37.48
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.224.5018.72safe11.27–17.161.82–7.1913.10–24.34safer10.45–17.991.09–7.9211.53–25.91
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.111.947.05safe3.23–6.990.28–3.593.51–10.58safer2.68–7.530.00–4.082.47–11.62
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.732.9510.68safe5.51–9.940.95–4.956.46–14.89safer4.94–10.510.42–5.485.36–16.00
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.1735.24safe58.38–71.9628.46–42.03safer56.71–73.6326.79–43.70
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction636345980safe568–703278–411847–1114safer550–721261–429811–1150
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction81.9769.81safe77.94–86.0065.49–74.13safer76.65–87.2964.18–75.44
Fouls
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3813.8523.23safe6.55–12.2210.90–16.7917.45–29.01safer5.79–12.9810.15–17.5415.94–30.52
Offsides
51%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.172.93safe0.60–2.920.08–2.270.68–5.19safer0.30–3.220.00–2.550.09–5.78
Yellow cards
21%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.283.57safe0.24–2.341.15–3.411.39–5.75safer0.00–2.610.86–3.700.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.034.606.63safe0.60–3.473.04–6.153.64–9.62safer0.21–3.862.62–6.582.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.07 2.10–4.04 1.85–4.29 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.73 | 3.72 1.90–5.54 1.42–6.02 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 7.79 5.93–9.65 5.44–10.14 | 2.50 0.76–4.24 0.29–4.71 | 10.29 6.68–13.89 5.73–14.85 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.46 16.54–24.39 15.45–25.48 | 7.48 3.92–11.04 2.96–12.00 | 27.94 20.46–35.43 18.41–37.48 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.22 11.27–17.16 10.45–17.99 | 4.50 1.82–7.19 1.09–7.92 | 18.72 13.10–24.34 11.53–25.91 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.23–6.99 2.68–7.53 | 1.94 0.28–3.59 0.00–4.08 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.62 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.73 5.51–9.94 4.94–10.51 | 2.95 0.95–4.95 0.42–5.48 | 10.68 6.46–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 91% |
| Possession % | 65.17 58.38–71.96 56.71–73.63 | 35.24 28.46–42.03 26.79–43.70 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 636 568–703 550–721 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 980 847–1114 811–1150 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.97 77.94–86.00 76.65–87.29 | 69.81 65.49–74.13 64.18–75.44 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.38 6.55–12.22 5.79–12.98 | 13.85 10.90–16.79 10.15–17.54 | 23.23 17.45–29.01 15.94–30.52 | 15% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.17 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.55 | 2.93 0.68–5.19 0.09–5.78 | 51% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 21% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 4.60 3.04–6.15 2.62–6.58 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.