Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.760.842.59safe0.79–2.720.00–1.690.77–4.42safer0.54–2.980.00–1.920.29–4.90
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.442.748.18safe3.57–7.301.00–4.484.57–11.78safer3.08–7.790.53–4.953.61–12.74
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction15.868.4524.31safe11.94–19.794.89–12.0216.83–31.80safer10.85–20.883.93–12.9714.78–33.85
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.415.4114.81safe6.47–12.352.72–8.099.19–20.44safer5.64–13.181.99–8.827.62–22.00
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.426.31safe2.01–5.780.77–4.072.78–9.85safer1.47–6.320.27–4.561.74–10.88
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.109.29safe3.97–8.401.10–5.105.07–13.50safer3.40–8.980.57–5.633.97–14.61
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.6136.83safe55.82–69.4030.04–43.61safer54.15–71.0728.37–45.28
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction633343975safe565–700276–409842–1109safer547–718259–427806–1145
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction77.1968.36safe73.16–81.2264.04–72.68safer71.87–82.5162.73–73.99
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.5824.19safe8.78–14.459.63–15.5218.41–29.97safer8.02–15.218.88–16.2716.90–31.48
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.353.33safe0.82–3.140.26–2.441.08–5.59safer0.52–3.450.00–2.730.49–6.18
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.043.59safe0.49–2.590.91–3.171.41–5.76safer0.23–2.860.62–3.460.85–6.32
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.655.62safe0.53–3.402.10–5.212.62–8.61safer0.14–3.791.67–5.631.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.98 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 59% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.57–7.30 3.08–7.79 | 2.74 1.00–4.48 0.53–4.95 | 8.18 4.57–11.78 3.61–12.74 | 78% |
| Total shots | 15.86 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 8.45 4.89–12.02 3.93–12.97 | 24.31 16.83–31.80 14.78–33.85 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 9.41 6.47–12.35 5.64–13.18 | 5.41 2.72–8.09 1.99–8.82 | 14.81 9.19–20.44 7.62–22.00 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.01–5.78 1.47–6.32 | 2.42 0.77–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 6.31 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.88 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.97–8.40 3.40–8.98 | 3.10 1.10–5.10 0.57–5.63 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 80% |
| Possession % | 62.61 55.82–69.40 54.15–71.07 | 36.83 30.04–43.61 28.37–45.28 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 633 565–700 547–718 | 343 276–409 259–427 | 975 842–1109 806–1145 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.19 73.16–81.22 71.87–82.51 | 68.36 64.04–72.68 62.73–73.99 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 12.58 9.63–15.52 8.88–16.27 | 24.19 18.41–29.97 16.90–31.48 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 3.65 2.10–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 5.62 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 17% 14% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.