Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.022.49safe0.49–2.430.17–1.880.66–4.31safer0.24–2.680.00–2.110.18–4.79
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.578.13safe2.69–6.421.83–5.324.52–11.73safer2.20–6.911.37–5.783.57–12.69
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5910.8124.39safe9.66–17.517.24–14.3716.91–31.88safer8.57–18.606.29–15.3314.86–33.93
Shots in box
54%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction7.906.9614.86safe4.96–10.854.28–9.649.24–20.49safer4.13–11.673.54–10.387.67–22.06
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.542.626.15safe1.66–5.420.96–4.272.62–9.69safer1.11–5.960.47–4.761.58–10.73
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.329.81safe3.27–7.702.32–6.325.60–14.02safer2.70–8.271.79–6.864.49–15.13
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.7042.90safe50.91–64.4936.12–49.69safer49.24–66.1634.45–51.36
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction473347820safe406–541280–413686–954safer388–559263–431651–989
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction73.1469.36safe69.11–77.1765.03–73.68safer67.82–78.4663.73–74.99
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1515.4228.57safe10.31–15.9912.48–18.3722.79–34.36safer9.56–16.7411.73–19.1221.29–35.86
Offsides
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.232.67safe0.27–2.600.14–2.320.41–4.92safer0.00–2.900.00–2.610.00–5.51
Yellow cards
26%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.894.91safe0.97–3.071.76–4.022.73–7.09safer0.70–3.331.47–4.312.18–7.65
Red cards
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.180.33safe0.00–0.320.00–0.360.00–0.68safer0.00–0.470.00–0.500.00–0.96
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.005.48safe1.05–3.921.45–4.562.49–8.48safer0.66–4.301.02–4.981.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.49 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 47% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.91 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.37–5.78 | 8.13 4.52–11.73 3.57–12.69 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.59 9.66–17.51 8.57–18.60 | 10.81 7.24–14.37 6.29–15.33 | 24.39 16.91–31.88 14.86–33.93 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.96–10.85 4.13–11.67 | 6.96 4.28–9.64 3.54–10.38 | 14.86 9.24–20.49 7.67–22.06 | 54% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 2.62 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 6.15 2.62–9.69 1.58–10.73 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.27–7.70 2.70–8.27 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.86 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 57.70 50.91–64.49 49.24–66.16 | 42.90 36.12–49.69 34.45–51.36 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 473 406–541 388–559 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.14 69.11–77.17 67.82–78.46 | 69.36 65.03–73.68 63.73–74.99 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 13.15 10.31–15.99 9.56–16.74 | 15.42 12.48–18.37 11.73–19.12 | 28.57 22.79–34.36 21.29–35.86 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.27–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.23 0.14–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 2.67 0.41–4.92 0.00–5.51 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.89 1.76–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 4.91 2.73–7.09 2.18–7.65 | 26% 17% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 74% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.48 2.49–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+