Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 22·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.742.142.88safe0.00–1.711.29–2.991.06–4.71safer0.00–1.961.06–3.220.58–5.19
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.755.458.20safe0.89–4.613.71–7.194.59–11.80safer0.40–5.103.24–7.663.64–12.76
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6315.0524.68safe5.71–13.5611.49–18.6117.19–32.17safer4.62–14.6510.53–19.5715.14–34.22
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.5010.3115.81safe2.56–8.447.63–12.9910.19–21.43safer1.73–9.276.89–13.738.62–23.00
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.846.69safe0.97–4.742.18–5.493.15–10.22safer0.43–5.281.69–5.982.12–11.26
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.335.809.13safe1.12–5.553.80–7.804.92–13.35safer0.55–6.123.27–8.333.81–14.45
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.3061.63safe31.51–45.0954.84–68.41safer29.84–46.7653.17–70.08
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction323500823safe256–390434–567689–957safer237–408416–584654–992
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.4375.40safe58.40–66.4671.08–79.72safer57.11–67.7569.77–81.03
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8213.9027.72safe10.98–16.6610.96–16.8521.94–33.51safer10.23–17.4110.21–17.6020.44–35.01
Offsides
19%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.423.68safe0.10–2.421.32–3.511.43–5.93safer0.00–2.721.04–3.800.84–6.52
Yellow cards
49%
18%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.214.89safe1.63–3.731.08–3.342.71–7.07safer1.37–4.000.79–3.632.15–7.63
Red cards
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.090.28safe0.03–0.350.00–0.280.00–0.63safer0.00–0.500.00–0.410.00–0.91
GK saves
65%
15%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.045.48safe2.00–4.880.48–3.602.49–8.47safer1.62–5.260.06–4.021.68–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.74 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.96 | 2.14 1.29–2.99 1.06–3.22 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 19% 70% |
| Shots on target | 2.75 0.89–4.61 0.40–5.10 | 5.45 3.71–7.19 3.24–7.66 | 8.20 4.59–11.80 3.64–12.76 | 78% |
| Total shots | 9.63 5.71–13.56 4.62–14.65 | 15.05 11.49–18.61 10.53–19.57 | 24.68 17.19–32.17 15.14–34.22 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 5.50 2.56–8.44 1.73–9.27 | 10.31 7.63–12.99 6.89–13.73 | 15.81 10.19–21.43 8.62–23.00 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 3.84 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 6.69 3.15–10.22 2.12–11.26 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 3.33 1.12–5.55 0.55–6.12 | 5.80 3.80–7.80 3.27–8.33 | 9.13 4.92–13.35 3.81–14.45 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 38.30 31.51–45.09 29.84–46.76 | 61.63 54.84–68.41 53.17–70.08 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 323 256–390 237–408 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.43 58.40–66.46 57.11–67.75 | 75.40 71.08–79.72 69.77–81.03 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.82 10.98–16.66 10.23–17.41 | 13.90 10.96–16.85 10.21–17.60 | 27.72 21.94–33.51 20.44–35.01 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.26 0.10–2.42 0.00–2.72 | 2.42 1.32–3.51 1.04–3.80 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 19% 19% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.68 1.63–3.73 1.37–4.00 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.89 2.71–7.07 2.15–7.63 | 49% 18% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 16% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.88 1.62–5.26 | 2.04 0.48–3.60 0.06–4.02 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.68–9.28 | 65% 15% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.