Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 22·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.642.713.35safe0.00–1.611.86–3.561.53–5.17safer0.00–1.861.63–3.791.05–5.65
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction2.277.079.34safe0.41–4.135.33–8.815.74–12.95safer0.00–4.624.86–9.284.78–13.90
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8917.5225.41safe3.97–11.8213.95–21.0817.92–32.90safer2.88–12.9112.99–22.0415.87–34.95
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction4.2112.6816.88safe1.26–7.159.99–15.3611.26–22.51safer0.43–7.989.26–16.099.69–24.07
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.576.57safe0.12–3.882.91–6.223.03–10.10safer0.00–4.432.42–6.712.00–11.14
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction2.656.719.37safe0.44–4.874.71–8.715.15–13.58safer0.00–5.444.18–9.254.05–14.69
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.8765.08safe28.08–41.6658.30–71.87safer26.41–43.3356.63–73.54
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction335599934safe268–403533–665801–1068safer250–421515–683765–1104
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction67.0682.61safe63.03–71.0878.28–86.93safer61.73–72.3876.97–88.24
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8211.6124.44safe9.99–15.668.67–14.5618.65–30.22safer9.23–16.427.92–15.3117.15–31.72
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.953.27safe0.16–2.490.86–3.041.02–5.53safer0.00–2.790.57–3.330.43–6.12
Yellow cards
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.094.57safe1.44–3.530.96–3.222.39–6.75safer1.17–3.800.67–3.511.84–7.31
Red cards
20%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.250.120.37safe0.09–0.410.00–0.310.02–0.72safer0.00–0.560.00–0.440.00–1.00
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.631.866.49safe3.19–6.070.30–3.413.49–9.48safer2.81–6.450.00–3.842.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.64 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.86 | 2.71 1.86–3.56 1.63–3.79 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 2.27 0.41–4.13 0.00–4.62 | 7.07 5.33–8.81 4.86–9.28 | 9.34 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.90 | 93% |
| Total shots | 7.89 3.97–11.82 2.88–12.91 | 17.52 13.95–21.08 12.99–22.04 | 25.41 17.92–32.90 15.87–34.95 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 4.21 1.26–7.15 0.43–7.98 | 12.68 9.99–15.36 9.26–16.09 | 16.88 11.26–22.51 9.69–24.07 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 2.00 0.12–3.88 0.00–4.43 | 4.57 2.91–6.22 2.42–6.71 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 79% |
| Corners | 2.65 0.44–4.87 0.00–5.44 | 6.71 4.71–8.71 4.18–9.25 | 9.37 5.15–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 88% |
| Possession % | 34.87 28.08–41.66 26.41–43.33 | 65.08 58.30–71.87 56.63–73.54 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 335 268–403 250–421 | 599 533–665 515–683 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.06 63.03–71.08 61.73–72.38 | 82.61 78.28–86.93 76.97–88.24 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 11.61 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 24.44 18.65–30.22 17.15–31.72 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.16–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.53 1.17–3.80 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.57 2.39–6.75 1.84–7.31 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.25 0.09–0.41 0.00–0.56 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.37 0.02–0.72 0.00–1.00 | 20% 71% |
| GK saves | 4.63 3.19–6.07 2.81–6.45 | 1.86 0.30–3.41 0.00–3.84 | 6.49 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+