Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.392.57safe0.21–2.150.54–2.250.75–4.39safer0.00–2.400.31–2.480.27–4.87
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.004.538.53safe2.14–5.862.79–6.274.93–12.14safer1.65–6.352.32–6.743.97–13.09
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1312.9325.06safe8.21–16.069.37–16.4917.58–32.55safer7.12–17.158.41–17.4515.53–34.60
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.718.5616.27safe4.77–10.655.88–11.2410.64–21.89safer3.94–11.485.14–11.979.08–23.46
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.416.48safe1.19–4.961.75–5.062.95–10.02safer0.65–5.501.26–5.551.91–11.05
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.889.56safe2.46–6.892.88–6.895.34–13.77safer1.89–7.462.35–7.424.24–14.88
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.3252.82safe39.53–53.1146.03–59.60safer37.86–54.7844.36–61.27
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction417451869safe350–484385–518735–1002safer332–503367–535699–1038
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction67.3470.76safe63.31–71.3766.44–75.09safer62.02–72.6665.13–76.39
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7211.7524.47safe9.88–15.558.81–14.7018.69–30.25safer9.12–16.318.06–15.4417.18–31.75
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.493.43safe0.78–3.100.40–2.581.17–5.68safer0.47–3.400.11–2.870.58–6.27
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.013.74safe0.68–2.780.88–3.141.56–5.92safer0.42–3.050.59–3.431.00–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.775.85safe1.64–4.511.22–4.332.86–8.84safer1.25–4.900.79–4.752.05–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 8.53 4.93–12.14 3.97–13.09 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.21–16.06 7.12–17.15 | 12.93 9.37–16.49 8.41–17.45 | 25.06 17.58–32.55 15.53–34.60 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.77–10.65 3.94–11.48 | 8.56 5.88–11.24 5.14–11.97 | 16.27 10.64–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 3.41 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 6.48 2.95–10.02 1.91–11.05 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.46–6.89 1.89–7.46 | 4.88 2.88–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 9.56 5.34–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 46.32 39.53–53.11 37.86–54.78 | 52.82 46.03–59.60 44.36–61.27 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–503 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 869 735–1002 699–1038 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.34 63.31–71.37 62.02–72.66 | 70.76 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.39 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.88–15.55 9.12–16.31 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.44 | 24.47 18.69–30.25 17.18–31.75 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.47–3.40 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.65 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+