Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.922.83safe0.93–2.870.07–1.781.00–4.65safer0.68–3.120.00–2.010.52–5.13
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.289.16safe4.02–7.741.53–5.025.55–12.76safer3.53–8.231.07–5.494.60–13.72
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4310.2327.66safe13.50–21.356.67–13.7920.17–35.14safer12.41–22.445.71–14.7518.12–37.19
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.585.9116.48safe7.63–13.523.23–8.5910.86–22.11safer6.80–14.352.49–9.329.29–23.67
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.717.19safe2.59–6.361.06–4.373.65–10.72safer2.05–6.900.57–4.862.62–11.76
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.149.52safe4.17–8.591.14–5.145.30–13.73safer3.59–9.170.60–5.674.20–14.84
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.0236.08safe56.23–69.8129.30–42.87safer54.56–71.4827.63–44.54
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction601317918safe534–668250–383784–1051safer516–686233–401748–1087
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction77.5368.43safe73.50–81.5664.11–72.76safer72.21–82.8562.80–74.07
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0912.2224.31safe9.25–14.939.28–15.1718.53–30.09safer8.49–15.688.53–15.9217.03–31.60
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.242.92safe0.52–2.840.14–2.330.67–5.17safer0.22–3.140.00–2.620.08–5.76
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.073.91safe0.79–2.890.94–3.201.73–6.09safer0.52–3.150.65–3.491.17–6.64
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.886.04safe0.73–3.602.32–5.433.05–9.03safer0.34–3.991.90–5.862.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.83 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.02–7.74 3.53–8.23 | 3.28 1.53–5.02 1.07–5.49 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.43 13.50–21.35 12.41–22.44 | 10.23 6.67–13.79 5.71–14.75 | 27.66 20.17–35.14 18.12–37.19 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.58 7.63–13.52 6.80–14.35 | 5.91 3.23–8.59 2.49–9.32 | 16.48 10.86–22.11 9.29–23.67 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 2.71 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.17–8.59 3.59–9.17 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.60–5.67 | 9.52 5.30–13.73 4.20–14.84 | 82% |
| Possession % | 63.02 56.23–69.81 54.56–71.48 | 36.08 29.30–42.87 27.63–44.54 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 317 250–383 233–401 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.53 73.50–81.56 72.21–82.85 | 68.43 64.11–72.76 62.80–74.07 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.25–14.93 8.49–15.68 | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 24.31 18.53–30.09 17.03–31.60 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.24 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 2.92 0.67–5.17 0.08–5.76 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.64 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 3.88 2.32–5.43 1.90–5.86 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+