Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.742.86safe0.15–2.090.89–2.601.04–4.68safer0.00–2.340.66–2.830.56–5.16
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.095.329.41safe2.23–5.963.57–7.065.81–13.02safer1.74–6.453.11–7.534.85–13.97
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8513.6026.45safe8.92–16.7710.04–17.1618.96–33.94safer7.83–17.869.08–18.1216.91–35.99
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.259.7116.96safe4.30–10.197.03–12.3911.33–22.58safer3.48–11.026.29–13.139.77–24.15
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.767.11safe1.46–5.232.11–5.413.57–10.64safer0.92–5.771.62–5.912.54–11.68
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.519.97safe2.25–6.673.51–7.515.75–14.18safer1.67–7.252.98–8.044.65–15.29
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.5455.65safe37.75–51.3348.87–62.44safer36.08–53.0047.19–64.11
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction397493890safe330–464427–559756–1023safer311–482409–577720–1059
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction71.6880.01safe67.65–75.7175.69–84.33safer66.36–77.0174.38–85.64
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5512.7026.25safe10.71–16.389.75–15.6420.46–32.03safer9.95–17.149.01–16.3918.96–33.53
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.422.82safe0.25–2.570.32–2.510.57–5.08safer0.00–2.870.03–2.800.00–5.67
Yellow cards
37%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.334.49safe1.11–3.211.20–3.462.31–6.67safer0.85–3.480.91–3.751.76–7.23
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.30safe0.00–0.320.00–0.330.00–0.65safer0.00–0.470.00–0.460.00–0.93
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.846.34safe2.06–4.931.29–4.403.35–9.33safer1.67–5.320.86–4.822.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.96 1.74–6.45 | 5.32 3.57–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.97 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.85 8.92–16.77 7.83–17.86 | 13.60 10.04–17.16 9.08–18.12 | 26.45 18.96–33.94 16.91–35.99 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.25 4.30–10.19 3.48–11.02 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 16.96 11.33–22.58 9.77–24.15 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.62–5.91 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.67 1.67–7.25 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 44.54 37.75–51.33 36.08–53.00 | 55.65 48.87–62.44 47.19–64.11 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 311–482 | 493 427–559 409–577 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.68 67.65–75.71 66.36–77.01 | 80.01 75.69–84.33 74.38–85.64 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.55 10.71–16.38 9.95–17.14 | 12.70 9.75–15.64 9.01–16.39 | 26.25 20.46–32.03 18.96–33.53 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 2.82 0.57–5.08 0.00–5.67 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.49 2.31–6.67 1.76–7.23 | 37% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.