Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.052.28safe0.27–2.200.19–1.900.46–4.10safer0.01–2.450.00–2.130.00–4.58
Shots on target
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.898.26safe2.51–6.232.15–5.634.66–11.87safer2.02–6.721.68–6.103.70–12.82
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2811.2125.49safe10.35–18.207.65–14.7718.00–32.97safer9.26–19.296.69–15.7315.95–35.02
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.207.0115.22safe5.26–11.154.33–9.699.59–20.84safer4.43–11.973.60–10.438.03–22.41
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.076.34safe1.39–5.161.41–4.722.80–9.88safer0.85–5.700.92–5.211.77–10.91
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.369.71safe3.13–7.562.36–6.365.49–13.92safer2.56–8.131.83–6.894.39–15.03
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.7947.85safe46.00–59.5841.07–54.63safer44.33–61.2539.39–56.31
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction453411865safe386–521345–478731–999safer368–539327–495696–1034
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction71.3771.62safe67.34–75.4067.30–75.94safer66.04–76.6965.99–77.25
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8113.4125.23safe8.98–14.6510.47–16.3619.45–31.01safer8.22–15.419.72–17.1117.94–32.51
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.553.11safe0.40–2.720.46–2.640.86–5.37safer0.10–3.020.17–2.930.27–5.95
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.273.92safe0.60–2.701.14–3.391.74–6.10safer0.34–2.970.85–3.691.18–6.65
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.235.95safe1.28–4.151.67–4.792.96–8.94safer0.89–4.541.25–5.212.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.28 0.46–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 40% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 8.26 4.66–11.87 3.70–12.82 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.28 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 11.21 7.65–14.77 6.69–15.73 | 25.49 18.00–32.97 15.95–35.02 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.15 4.43–11.97 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.60–10.43 | 15.22 9.59–20.84 8.03–22.41 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.34 2.80–9.88 1.77–10.91 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 52.79 46.00–59.58 44.33–61.25 | 47.85 41.07–54.63 39.39–56.31 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 453 386–521 368–539 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.37 67.34–75.40 66.04–76.69 | 71.62 67.30–75.94 65.99–77.25 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.98–14.65 8.22–15.41 | 13.41 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.11 | 25.23 19.45–31.01 17.94–32.51 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.95 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.27 1.14–3.39 0.85–3.69 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.18–6.65 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.23 1.67–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+