Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.372.55safe0.21–2.150.52–2.230.73–4.38safer0.00–2.400.29–2.450.25–4.86
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.528.75safe2.37–6.092.78–6.265.14–12.35safer1.88–6.582.31–6.734.19–13.31
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3013.9426.24safe8.38–16.2310.38–17.5018.76–33.73safer7.29–17.329.42–18.4616.71–35.78
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.418.6516.06safe4.47–10.365.97–11.3310.44–21.69safer3.64–11.195.23–12.078.87–23.25
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.676.72safe1.17–4.942.01–5.323.19–10.26safer0.63–5.481.52–5.812.15–11.29
Corners
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.939.29safe2.15–6.572.93–6.935.08–13.51safer1.57–7.152.40–7.473.97–14.61
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.9754.71safe39.18–52.7647.92–61.49safer37.51–54.4346.25–63.17
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction395467863safe328–462401–534729–996safer310–481383–551693–1032
Pass accuracy %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction71.0777.22safe67.04–75.1072.90–81.54safer65.75–76.3971.59–82.85
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3213.8227.14safe10.49–16.1610.87–16.7621.36–32.92safer9.73–16.9210.12–17.5119.85–34.42
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.483.28safe0.64–2.960.38–2.571.03–5.53safer0.34–3.260.10–2.860.44–6.12
Yellow cards
38%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.524.88safe1.31–3.411.39–3.652.70–7.06safer1.04–3.681.10–3.942.14–7.62
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.140.30safe0.00–0.320.00–0.330.00–0.64safer0.00–0.470.00–0.460.00–0.93
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.132.926.05safe1.69–4.561.36–4.483.05–9.04safer1.30–4.950.94–4.902.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.45 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 4.52 2.78–6.26 2.31–6.73 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.30 8.38–16.23 7.29–17.32 | 13.94 10.38–17.50 9.42–18.46 | 26.24 18.76–33.73 16.71–35.78 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.41 4.47–10.36 3.64–11.19 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 16.06 10.44–21.69 8.87–23.25 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.17–4.94 0.63–5.48 | 3.67 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.15–6.57 1.57–7.15 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.47 | 9.29 5.08–13.51 3.97–14.61 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.97 39.18–52.76 37.51–54.43 | 54.71 47.92–61.49 46.25–63.17 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 395 328–462 310–481 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.07 67.04–75.10 65.75–76.39 | 77.22 72.90–81.54 71.59–82.85 | — | 20% 77% |
| Fouls | 13.32 10.49–16.16 9.73–16.92 | 13.82 10.87–16.76 10.12–17.51 | 27.14 21.36–32.92 19.85–34.42 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.36 1.31–3.41 1.04–3.68 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.88 2.70–7.06 2.14–7.62 | 38% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.30 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.