Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.170.643.81safe2.21–4.140.00–1.501.99–5.64safer1.95–4.390.00–1.721.51–6.12
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.762.5710.33safe5.89–9.620.83–4.316.72–13.93safer5.40–10.110.36–4.785.77–14.89
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.717.5228.23safe16.79–24.643.95–11.0820.74–35.71safer15.70–25.732.99–12.0418.69–37.76
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.024.4218.44safe11.08–16.961.73–7.1012.81–24.06safer10.25–17.791.00–7.8311.24–25.63
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.121.796.91safe3.24–7.000.14–3.453.38–10.45safer2.69–7.550.00–3.942.34–11.48
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.632.7310.36safe5.42–9.850.73–4.736.15–14.57safer4.85–10.420.19–5.265.04–15.68
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.1537.52safe56.36–69.9430.73–44.30safer54.69–71.6129.06–45.97
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction619378997safe552–686311–444863–1130safer534–704294–462827–1166
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction82.4672.67safe78.43–86.4968.35–77.00safer77.14–87.7867.04–78.31
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6112.2621.86safe6.77–12.459.31–15.2016.08–27.65safer6.02–13.208.56–15.9514.58–29.15
Offsides
55%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.133.03safe0.74–3.060.04–2.230.77–5.28safer0.43–3.360.00–2.510.18–5.87
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.293.70safe0.37–2.471.16–3.421.53–5.88safer0.10–2.730.87–3.710.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.656.69safe0.60–3.473.10–6.213.70–9.68safer0.21–3.862.67–6.632.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.17 2.21–4.14 1.95–4.39 | 0.64 0.00–1.50 0.00–1.72 | 3.81 1.99–5.64 1.51–6.12 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 7.76 5.89–9.62 5.40–10.11 | 2.57 0.83–4.31 0.36–4.78 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.77–14.89 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.71 16.79–24.64 15.70–25.73 | 7.52 3.95–11.08 2.99–12.04 | 28.23 20.74–35.71 18.69–37.76 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.02 11.08–16.96 10.25–17.79 | 4.42 1.73–7.10 1.00–7.83 | 18.44 12.81–24.06 11.24–25.63 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.69–7.55 | 1.79 0.14–3.45 0.00–3.94 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.63 5.42–9.85 4.85–10.42 | 2.73 0.73–4.73 0.19–5.26 | 10.36 6.15–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 92% |
| Possession % | 63.15 56.36–69.94 54.69–71.61 | 37.52 30.73–44.30 29.06–45.97 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 619 552–686 534–704 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 997 863–1130 827–1166 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.46 78.43–86.49 77.14–87.78 | 72.67 68.35–77.00 67.04–78.31 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.61 6.77–12.45 6.02–13.20 | 12.26 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 21.86 16.08–27.65 14.58–29.15 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 1.13 0.04–2.23 0.00–2.51 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 55% 22% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 4.65 3.10–6.21 2.67–6.63 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.